Match Info

JAPAN: J2 LEAGUE - ROUND 7

Date: 1 April 2023, Saturday

Location: Ajinomoto Stadium (Tokyo)

Referee: Otsubo H. (Jpn)


	Tokyo Verdy		Omiya Ardija

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.4	4.33	Watch
	1.82	3.2	3.9
	1.72	3.4	4.75
	1.92	3.53	4.37
	1.83	3.2	4
	1.85	3.6	4.2	Watch
	1.87	3.3	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (2.08)	3.38 ↑ (3.15)	4.24 ↑ (3.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tokyo Verdy
50.4%

Draw
27.6%

Omiya Ardija
22%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.6%

29.5%

25.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.5%

28.9%

25.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tokyo Verdy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tokyo Verdy's performance.

Omiya Ardija has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tokyo Verdy than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Omiya Ardija than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	20%	30%

Tokyo Verdy - Omiya Ardija Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Tokyo Verdy will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Omiya will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tokyo Verdy: 19% – 81%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League and 7).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Tokyo Verdy won 1.

Tokyo Verdy is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Omiya is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Tokyo Verdy is a favorite.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Tokyo Verdy won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 14-17.

Including matches at home between the teams Tokyo Verdy won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tokyo Verdy
Japan J2 League
25.03.23	Tokyo Verdy - Roasso Kumamoto	3:0 ✺
19.03.23	Fujieda MYFC - Tokyo Verdy	0:5 ✺
12.03.23	Tokushima Vortis - Tokyo Verdy	0:2 ✺
05.03.23	Tokyo Verdy - Ventforet Kofu	0:0 ✺
25.02.23	Oita Trinita - Tokyo Verdy	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 WWWTL
- RB Omiya Ardija
Japan J2 League
25.03.23	Omiya Ardija - Oita Trinita	3:0 ✺
19.03.23	Tochigi - Omiya Ardija	2:1 ✺
11.03.23	Omiya Ardija - Júbilo Iwata	1:0 ✺
04.03.23	Roasso Kumamoto - Omiya Ardija	3:0 ✺
25.02.23	Omiya Ardija - Zweigen Kanazawa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
10.07.22	Omiya Ardija - Tokyo Verdy	2:2
28.05.22	Tokyo Verdy - Omiya Ardija	1:1
05.09.21	Omiya Ardija - Tokyo Verdy	2:1
02.05.21	Tokyo Verdy - Omiya Ardija	1:1
03.10.20	Tokyo Verdy - Omiya Ardija	3:1
11.07.20	Omiya Ardija - Tokyo Verdy	1:0
22.09.19	Omiya Ardija - Tokyo Verdy	2:0

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