The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Toluca 38.2%
Draw 26%
Pachuca 35.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
29.2%
25%
45.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28.3%
24.3%
47.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Toluca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Toluca's performance.
Pachuca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pachuca might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toluca than the current prediction. (-9.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Toluca that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pachuca than the current prediction. (+11.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pachuca could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Toluca - Pachuca Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH +0.25 - Toluca (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 3 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Toluca (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Martinez V. (G) 10. Cuevas B. 16. Fernandez L. 28. Henry A. 17. Jakobsson S. 99. Le Sommer E. 2. Martinez K. 7. Peraza C. (C) 15. Ramirez M. 25. Robert F. 4. Rodriguez Perez Y.
1. Barreras E. (G) 25. Aline Gomes 15. Caicedo K. 26. Garcia Ramirez M. P. 13. Godinez A. 45. Ibarra B. 30. Ihezuo C. 10. Nicosia N. 6. Nieto K. (C) 3. Ohale O. 19. Pereira A.
Substitutes
14. Blackwood D. 5. Erceg A. 8. Fernandez K. 11. Guatemala D. 1. Meza Acosta A. L. (G) 26. Munoz I. 29. Pavi M. 9. Roman M. 6. Vazquez S.
12. Becerra S. 48. Fragoso Garcia A. A. 22. Lopes C. (G) 47. Martinez A. 14. Mauleon M. 28. Valadez Alvidrez J. Y. 33. Valera S. 21. Vance M.
Coaches
Lair P.
Torres O.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, Pereira A. (Penalty Awarded),
33', Martinez K. ↓, Guatemala D. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Ramirez M. ↓, Erceg A. ↑,
46', Robert F. ↓, Blackwood D. ↑,
58', 1 - 1, Le Sommer E. ⚽,
60', Caicedo K. 🟨,
70', Rodriguez Perez Y. ↓, Vazquez S. ↑,
70', Cuevas B. ↓, Pavi M. ↑,
71', Aline Gomes ↓, Vance M. ↑,
77', Garcia Ramirez M. P. ↓, Becerra S. ↑,
85', Ibarra B. 🟨,
Preview
One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX Women (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX Women (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toluca won 3.
In recent matches, Toluca has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Pachuca is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Pachuca is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Toluca won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 10 matches, and goals 26:46. (average 1.4:2.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Toluca won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 12:20. (average 1.3:2.2).
Mexico
South-america
Watch
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Martinez V. (G) 
Fernandez L. 
Henry A. 
Jakobsson S. 
Aline Gomes 
Caicedo K. 
Ihezuo C. 
Nicosia N. 
Pereira A. 
Blackwood D. 
Erceg A. 
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