The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Toluca 77.7%
Draw 13.9%
Querétaro 8.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
68.8%
19.1%
12.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
72.5%
18.1%
11.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Toluca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Toluca's performance.
Querétaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toluca than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Toluca that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Querétaro than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
Toluca - Querétaro Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Martinez V. (G) 5. Erceg A. 16. Fernandez L. 99. Le Sommer E. 13. Lopez V. 2. Martinez K. 59. Monroy F. 7. Peraza C. 15. Ramirez M. 21. Valadez N. 6. Vazquez S.
28. Torres E. (G) 8. Carrandi D. 9. Cecena S. 20. Figueroa B. 16. Flores E. 14. Gonzalez V. 24. Moran L. 3. Perez M. 13. Ramos L. 7. Santamaria E. 15. Toraya Y.
Substitutes
22. Abam M. 10. Cuevas B. 11. Guatemala D. 28. Henry A. 3. Lopez J. 26. Munoz I. 33. Thompson K. (G) 17. van de Sanden S. 19. Vazquez E.
4. Alvarez G. 12. Cortez D. 10. Herrera A. 51. Lujano S. 11. Molina D. 5. Perez M. 68. Quijano R. (G) 43. Rodriguez D. 46. Sanchez H. 23. Sanchez J.
Coaches
Lair P.
Samayoa F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Peraza C. ⚽,
26', Martinez K. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Figueroa B. ↓, Herrera A. ↑,
46', Monroy F. ↓, Abam M. ↑,
46', Erceg A. ↓, van de Sanden S. ↑,
52', Flores E. 🟨,
58', 2 - 0, Abam M. ⚽,
59', Vazquez S. ↓, Henry A. ↑,
61', Ramos L. ↓, Molina D. ↑,
63', Ramirez M. ↓, Lopez J. ↑,
72', 🟨,
72', Flores E. 🟥,
73', Toraya Y. 🟨,
76', Fernandez L. ↓, Munoz I. ↑,
80', Carrandi D. ↓, Rodriguez D. ↑,
84', Cecena S. ↓, Alvarez G. ↑,
Preview
A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX Women (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 16).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toluca won 1.
Toluca is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Querétaro has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
In this match, Toluca is the obvious favorite.
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Toluca won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:10. (average 1.1:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Toluca won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 1.2:1).
Mexico
South-america
Watch
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Martinez V. (G) 
Erceg A. 
Fernandez L. 
Le Sommer E. 
Flores E. 
Abam M. 
van de Sanden S. 
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