Match Info

Serie B Superbet - Round 13

Date: 20 June 2025, Friday

Location: Estadio Santa Cruz (Ribeirao Preto)

Referee: Gomes A. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+


	Botafogo SP		Chapecoense

	1	X	2
	2.45	3	3.2	Watch
	2.37	2.85	3.1
	2.49	2.84	3.19
				Watch
	2.45	2.8	3.3
	2.42	2.96	3.15	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↓ (3.24)	2.89 ↓ (3.07)	3.19 ↑ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Botafogo SP
38.4%

Draw
32.3%

Chapecoense
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.6%

30.2%

41.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.2%

28.7%

43.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Botafogo SP has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Botafogo SP's performance.

Chapecoense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Chapecoense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Botafogo SP than the current prediction. (-11.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Botafogo SP that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chapecoense than the current prediction. (+14%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chapecoense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	50%	25%

Botafogo SP - Chapecoense Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Botafogo SP will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Chapecoense will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Botafogo SP (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Chapecoense (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Botafogo SP (1.63) (votes: 2 - 50%) .

DNB - Chapecoense (2.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Chapecoense (1.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Botafogo SP (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Chapecoense (votes: 6 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Victor Souza (G) 2. Jeferson 3. Ericson 4. Cadu 6. Risso G. 5. Gabriel Bispo 8. Dramisino A. 10. Maciel L. (C) 7. Robinho 9. Alexandre Jesus 11. Jefferson Nem	12. Leo Vieira (G) 25. Victor Caetano 33. Bruno Leonardo (C) 4. Joao Paulo 22. Mailton 16. Bruno Matias 99. Rafael Carvalheira 10. Giovanni Augusto 37. Clar W. 18. Neto Pessoa 7. Marcinho
Substitutes
14. Alisson Cassiano 19. Carrillo R. 15. Edson 16. Jean Victor 12. Joao Carlos (G) 18. Marquinho 20. Pablo Thomaz 13. Wallison 17. Wesley Dias 22. Willian Lins 21. Yuri Felipe	97. Dentinho 26. Everton 77. Italo 90. Mailson 6. Mancha 95. Marcinho 8. Marlon 48. Pedro Martins 9. Pedro Perotti 1. Rafael Santos (G)
Coaches
Aal A.	Gilmar Pozzo

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
41', Joao Paulo 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Dramisino A. ↓, Marquinho ↑,
59', Giovanni Augusto 🟨,
67', Marcinho ↓, Italo ↑,
68', Neto Pessoa ↓, Pedro Perotti ↑,
73', Bruno Leonardo 🟨,
76', Risso G. ↓, Jean Victor ↑,
77', Jefferson Nem ↓, Carrillo R. ↑,
80', Giovanni Augusto ↓, Marcinho ↑,
82', Jeferson ↓, Wallison ↑,
88', Robinho ↓, Willian Lins ↑,
89', Clar W. ↓, Mancha ↑,
89', Bruno Matias ↓, Pedro Martins ↑,
90+4', Pedro Perotti 🟨,
90+5', 1 - 0, Bruno Leonardo (Own goal),
90+5', Wallison 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: ) and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Botafogo SP won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Chapecoense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Botafogo SP: Abdulai S. (Yellow Cards) Alisson Cassiano (Injury) Jean Victor (Injury) Jonathan Cafu (Yellow Cards) Matheus Barbosa (Injury) Matheus Costa (Injury) Rafael Milhorim (Yellow Cards) Wesley Dias (Inactive)

There are questionable in Botafogo SP: Carrillo R. (Inactive) Gustavo Bochecha (Inactive) Matheus Regis (Inactive)

There are questionable in Chapecoense: Eduardo Person (Inactive) Getulio (Injury)

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Botafogo SP won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 0.8:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Botafogo SP won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Botafogo SP
Brazilian Serie B
13.06.25	Paysandu - Botafogo SP	1:0 ✺
05.06.25	Botafogo SP - Coritiba	0:0 ✺
29.05.25	Ferroviária - Botafogo SP	1:1 ✺
26.05.25	Botafogo SP - CRB Maceio	2:1 ✺
17.05.25	Operário Ferroviario - Botafogo SP	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LTTWL
- Chapecoense-SC
Brazilian Serie B
16.06.25	Chapecoense - Ferroviária	2:1 ✺
06.06.25	Grêmio Novorizontino - Chapecoense	1:0 ✺
02.06.25	Chapecoense - Amazonas	4:0 ✺
24.05.25	Avaí - Chapecoense	2:1 ✺
16.05.25	Chapecoense - Cuiabá	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
31.08.24	Chapecoense - Botafogo SP	1:1
14.05.24	Botafogo SP - Chapecoense	0:0
11.11.23	Chapecoense - Botafogo SP	2:0
23.08.23	Botafogo SP - Chapecoense	1:2
09.01.21	Botafogo SP - Chapecoense	3:0
06.10.20	Chapecoense - Botafogo SP	1:0

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