Match Info

Date: 26 February 2022, Saturday


	Tonbridge Angels		Billericay Town

	1	X	2
	1.93	3.3	3.3
	1.85	3.4	3.6
	1.83	3.45	3.75
	1.91	3.62	3.77
	1.73	3.5	4.2
	1.86	3.58	3.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↑ (1.66)	3.48 ↓ (3.79)	3.73 ↓ (4.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tonbridge Angels
49.3%

Draw
26.3%

Billericay Town
24.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.1%

24.1%

20.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.7%

19.6%

16.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tonbridge Angels has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tonbridge Angels's form might have worsened.

Billericay Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tonbridge Angels than the current prediction. (+18.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tonbridge Angels, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Billericay Town than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Billericay Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Tonbridge Angels - Billericay Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 18 and 21 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Tonbridge won 3.

Tonbridge is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Billericay is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Tonbridge is a favorite.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Tonbridge won 5 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 24-21.

Including matches at home between the teams Tonbridge won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tonbridge Angels
English FA Trophy
12.02.22	Tonbridge Angels - Bromley	1:2 penalties ✺
English National League South
08.02.22	Eastbourne Borough - Tonbridge Angels	3:1 ✺
05.02.22	Dorking Wanderers - Tonbridge Angels	1:3 ✺
29.01.22	Tonbridge Angels - Dartford	2:3 ✺
26.01.22	Havant & Waterlooville - Tonbridge Angels	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 LLWLT
- Billericay Town
English National League South
12.02.22	Billericay Town - Dulwich Hamlet	2:0 ✺
05.02.22	Hemel Hempstead Town - Billericay Town	2:1 ✺
29.01.22	Billericay Town - Dorking Wanderers	0:5 ✺
25.01.22	Slough Town - Billericay Town	1:1 ✺
22.01.22	Billericay Town - Havant & Waterlooville	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WLLTT

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
23.10.21	Billericay Town - Tonbridge Angels	0:1
06.10.20	Billericay Town - Tonbridge Angels	0:2
25.01.20	Billericay Town - Tonbridge Angels	3:3
07.12.19	Tonbridge Angels - Billericay Town	3:2
English Isthmian League Premier Division
03.04.18	Billericay Town - Tonbridge Angels	2:1
22.03.18	Tonbridge Angels - Billericay Town	2:1
02.01.17	Billericay Town - Tonbridge Angels	2:1

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