Match Info

National League South - Round 29

Date: 26 January 2026, Monday


	Chelmsford City		Tonbridge Angels

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.45	3.85
	1.83	3.54	3.98
	1.84	3.65	3.97	Watch
	1.85	3.3	3.8
	1.82	3.38	3.93
	1.83	3.4	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↑ (1.71)	3.45 ↓ (3.84)	3.92 ↓ (4.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chelmsford City
50%

Draw
26.6%

Tonbridge Angels
23.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.2%

24.1%

21.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.3%

23.6%

21.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chelmsford City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Tonbridge Angels has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chelmsford City than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chelmsford City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tonbridge Angels than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Chelmsford City - Tonbridge Angels Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - Tonbridge (1.96) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tonbridge (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Taylor L. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 12 and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chelmsford won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Chelmsford might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Chelmsford won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 32:17. (average 1.9:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Chelmsford won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:7. (average 2.3:0.9).

Outrights of English National League South for now

Chelmsford: 5.21% Tonbridge: 2.3%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Tonbridge	10	4	2	4	19:11	8	14
16	Chelmsford	9	1	8	0	9:8	1	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chelmsford City
English National League South
24.01.26	Horsham - Chelmsford City	2:3 ✺
17.01.26	Chelmsford City - Weston-super-Mare	1:0 ✺
29.12.25	Chelmsford City - Dagenham & Redbridge	1:4 ✺
26.12.25	Enfield Town - Chelmsford City	0:4 ✺
20.12.25	Chelmsford City - Ebbsfleet United	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WWLWL
- Tonbridge Angels
English National League South
24.01.26	Slough Town - Tonbridge Angels	2:3 ✺
17.01.26	Tonbridge Angels - Totton	4:1 ✺
10.01.26	Enfield Town - Tonbridge Angels	1:1 ✺
03.01.26	Tonbridge Angels - Dorking Wanderers	2:2 ✺
30.12.25	Tonbridge Angels - Eastbourne Borough	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WWTTL

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
04.11.25	Tonbridge Angels - Chelmsford City	2:4
22.03.25	Tonbridge Angels - Chelmsford City	2:1
19.08.24	Chelmsford City - Tonbridge Angels	1:1
13.04.24	Chelmsford City - Tonbridge Angels	3:0
04.11.23	Tonbridge Angels - Chelmsford City	1:1
20.02.23	Chelmsford City - Tonbridge Angels	1:0
25.10.22	Tonbridge Angels - Chelmsford City	1:0

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