Match Info

National League South - Round 40

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday


	Tonbridge Angels		Bath City

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.2	3.1
	2.12	3.3	3.15
	2.14	3.29	3.42
	2.11	3.43	3.29	Watch
	2.1	3.25	3.3
	2.14	3.48	3.17
	2.23	3.25	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↓ (2.22)	3.31 ↓ (3.55)	3.18 ↑ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tonbridge Angels
43.3%

Draw
27.8%

Bath City
29%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.8%

26.2%

32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4%

25.2%

30.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tonbridge Angels has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Bath City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tonbridge Angels than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bath City than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Tonbridge Angels - Bath City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, Wilson S. ⚽,
18', 1 - 1, Akehurst B. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
53', 2 - 1, Babajide O. ⚽,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 15 and 22 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tonbridge won 1.

Tonbridge has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Bath has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Recently, Tonbridge has had a series of away games.

Tonbridge will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Tonbridge won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 13:20. (average 0.9:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Tonbridge won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 1.3:1.7).

Outrights of English National League South for now

Tonbridge: 2.3%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Tonbridge	10	4	2	4	19:11	8	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tonbridge Angels
English National League South
17.03.26	Weston-super-Mare - Tonbridge Angels	0:1 ✺
14.03.26	Horsham - Tonbridge Angels	0:1 ✺
10.03.26	Dover Athletic - Tonbridge Angels	2:0 ✺
07.03.26	Tonbridge Angels - Worthing	1:0 ✺
28.02.26	Hemel Hempstead Town - Tonbridge Angels	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.6 WWLWL
- Bath City
English National League South
17.03.26	Horsham - Bath City	2:1 ✺
14.03.26	Bath City - Hornchurch	2:2 ✺
10.03.26	Bath City - Farnborough	0:1 ✺
07.03.26	Chelmsford City - Bath City	7:1 ✺
03.03.26	Bath City - Slough Town	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
11.11.25	Bath City - Tonbridge Angels	1:1
15.03.25	Bath City - Tonbridge Angels	2:0
24.08.24	Tonbridge Angels - Bath City	0:0
06.04.24	Bath City - Tonbridge Angels	1:1
21.10.23	Tonbridge Angels - Bath City	3:2
25.02.23	Bath City - Tonbridge Angels	0:1
05.11.22	Tonbridge Angels - Bath City	1:2

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