Match Info

Serie A - Round 4

Date: 21 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadio Olimpico di Torino (Turin)

Referee: Colombo A. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 2, Sporty TV, StarTimes App, SuperSport Football, ZAP
Albania	Tring Sport 1
Angola	Z Sports 2
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	DAZN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	Sport 2
Denmark	TV2 Play
Europe	Go3 Sport 3 Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+
France	DAZN France
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 2
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 3, M Plus Live
Hungary	Match 4, Net4+
Indonesia	Vidio
Italy	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN Italia, SKY Go Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport
North-central-america	ESPN Norte
Norway	VG+
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Eleven Sports 2, Polsat Sport Premium 2
Portugal	Sport TV2
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3, Prima TV
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi-arabia	STC TV
Serbia	Arena Sport 1x2
Slovenia	Arena Sport 3
South-korea	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Thailand	True ID, True Premier Football 3
Turkey	S Sport 2, S Sport, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	DAZN, DAZN UK
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	CBS Sports Golazo, DAZN Espanol, DAZN USA, Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Torino		Atalanta

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.25	2.25	Watch
	3.6	3.4	2.05
	3.35	3.25	2.22	Watch
	3.5	3.33	2.31
	4.44	3.07	1.95	Watch
	3.5	3.4	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.63 ↑ (3.55)	3.28 ↓ (3.55)	2.18 ↑ (2.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Torino
26.5%

Draw
29.3%

Atalanta
44.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.8%

46.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.2%

47.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Torino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Atalanta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Torino than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atalanta than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	14.8%	74.1%

Torino - Atalanta Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Torino will win (votes: 3 - 11.1%). Atalanta will win (votes: 20 - 74.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 14.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Atalanta: 57.6% – 90.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Torino (votes: 2 - 40%). Atalanta (votes: 3 - 60%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1 - Torino (1.28) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Torino (1.67) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Torino (votes: 4 - 50%). Atalanta (votes: 4 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
81. Israel F. (G) 23. Coco S. 13. Maripan G. 44. Ismajli A. 20. Lazaro V. 32. Asllani K. 8. Ilic I. 34. Biraghi C. 7. Aboukhlal Z. 18. Simeone G. 10. Vlasic N. (C)	29. Carnesecchi M. (G) 3. Kossounou O. 4. Hien I. 19. Djimsiti B. 77. Zappacosta D. 15. De Roon M. (C) 8. Pasalic M. 59. Zalewski N. 10. Samardzic L. 7. Sulemana K. 90. Krstovic N.
Substitutes
19. Adams C. 14. Anjorin F. 22. Casadei C. 21. Dembele A. 66. Gineitis G. 6. Ilkhan E. 26. Ngonge C. 92. Njie A. 25. Nkounkou N. 1. Paleari A. (G) 16. Pedersen M. 71. Popa M. (G) 61. Tameze A. 91. Zapata D.	69. Ahanor H. 16. Bellanova R. 47. Bernasconi L. 44. Brescianini M. 11. Lookman A. 70. Maldini D. 6. Musah Y. 40. Obric R. 31. Rossi F. (G) 57. Sportiello M. (G)
Coaches
Baroni M.	Juric I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
10', Zalewski N. ↓, Bellanova R. ↑,
27', Hien I. ↓, Ahanor H. ↑,
30', 0 - 1, Krstovic N. ⚽, Samardzic L. (A),
34', 0 - 2, Sulemana K. ⚽, Zappacosta D. (A),
38', 0 - 3, Krstovic N. ⚽, Sulemana K. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Maripan G. ↓, Tameze A. ↑,
46', Aboukhlal Z. ↓, Adams C. ↑,
46', Ilic I. ↓, Casadei C. ↑,
69', Simeone G. ↓, Zapata D. ↑,
73', Zapata D. (Pen),
81', Vlasic N. ↓, Anjorin F. ↑,
87', Krstovic N. ↓, Maldini D. ↑,
87', De Roon M. ↓, Musah Y. ↑,
87', Sulemana K. ↓, Lookman A. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Torino won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Atalanta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Atalanta will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Torino: Masina A. (Thigh Injury) Savva Z. (Knee Injury) Sazonov S. (Knee Injury) Schuurs P. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Atalanta: Bakker M. (Knee Injury) De Ketelaere C. (Injury) Ederson (Knee Injury) Kolasinac S. (Knee Injury) Scalvini G. (Injury) Scamacca G. (Knee Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Torino won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 30:39. (average 1.5:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Torino won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:19. (average 1.5:1.9).

Last Results with these Odds

Atalanta - the odds 2.05 are the expected chance of winning is 46.36%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Torino FC
Italian Serie A
14.09.25	Roma - Torino	0:1 ✺
31.08.25	Torino - Fiorentina	0:0 ✺
25.08.25	Inter Milan - Torino	5:0 ✺
Coppa Italia
18.08.25	Torino - Modena	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
09.08.25	Valencia - Torino	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 WTLWL
- Atalanta
UEFA Champions League
17.09.25	Paris Saint-Germain - Atalanta	4:0 ✺
Italian Serie A
14.09.25	Atalanta - Lecce	4:1 ✺
30.08.25	Parma - Atalanta	1:1 ✺
24.08.25	Atalanta - Pisa	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
16.08.25	Atalanta - Juventus	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
01.02.25	Atalanta - Torino	1:1
25.08.24	Torino - Atalanta	2:1
26.05.24	Atalanta - Torino	3:0
04.12.23	Torino - Atalanta	3:0
29.04.23	Torino - Atalanta	1:2
01.09.22	Atalanta - Torino	3:1
27.04.22	Atalanta - Torino	4:4

Upcoming Matches