Match Info

Serie A - Round 32

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday

Location: New Balance Arena (Bergamo)

Referee: Maresca F. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	New World Sport 2, SuperSport Football, ZAP
Albania	Tring Sport 1
Angola	Z Sports 2
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 3, ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 1
Asia	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	DAZN 2, DAZN
Azerbaijan	Setanta Sports 1
Bolivia	ESPN 3
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 2
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Canada	DAZN Canada, FuboTV, TLN, VIVA
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech-republic	Oneplay, Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play
Ecuador	ESPN 3
Europe	Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
France	DAZN France
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 1
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player
Hungary	Arena 4
Indonesia	Vidio
Israel	Sport 1
Italy	DAZN Italia, NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 251, Sky Sport Calcio, Sky Sport Uno
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	Arena Premium 2
Kuwait	Shasha
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 1
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN
Moldova	Setanta Sports 1
Netherlands	Ziggo Go, Ziggo Sport 2
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	VG+
Peru	Disney+, ESPN 3, ESPN
Poland	Eleven Sports 1, Polsat Sport Premium 2
Portugal	Sport TV2
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi-arabia	STC TV
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Slovakia	Sport 1
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1 Premium
South-korea	SPOTV Now
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Tajikistan	Setanta Sports 1
Thailand	True ID, True Premier Football 3
Tunisia	Diwan Sport
Turkey	S Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 1
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	DAZN
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	DAZN USA, Paramount+
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 1
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN 3
Vietnam	TV 360, VTVcab
World	Starzplay Sports app


	Atalanta		Juventus

	1	X	2
	3	3.5	2.3	Watch
	3.05	3.45	2.32	Watch
	3.16	3.5	2.35
	3.12	3.55	2.33	Watch
	2.88	3.4	2.25
	3.23	3.5	2.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.07 ↑ (3.06)	3.48 ↓ (3.57)	2.32 ↑ (2.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atalanta
31.2%

Draw
27.5%

Juventus
41.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31%

26.6%

42.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.7%

26.4%

42.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atalanta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Juventus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atalanta than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juventus than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	25%	41.7%

Atalanta - Juventus Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Atalanta will win (votes: 8 - 33.3%). Juventus will win (votes: 10 - 41.7%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Juventus: 22% – 61.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Atalanta (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH -1 - Atalanta (5.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Atalanta (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Carnesecchi M. (G) 42. Scalvini G. 19. Djimsiti B. 23. Kolasinac S. 77. Zappacosta D. 15. De Roon M. (C) 13. Ederson 47. Bernasconi L. 17. De Ketelaere C. 59. Zalewski N. 90. Krstovic N.	16. Di Gregorio M. (G) 15. Kalulu P. 3. Bremer 6. Kelly L. 2. Holm E. 5. Locatelli M. (C) 19. Thuram K. 27. Cambiaso A. 7. Conceicao F. 10. Yildiz K. 13. Boga J.
Substitutes
69. Ahanor H. 5. Bakker M. 16. Bellanova R. 3. Kossounou O. 46. Levak S. 6. Musah Y. 40. Obric R. 50. Pardel P. (G) 8. Pasalic M. 18. Raspadori G. 10. Samardzic L. 9. Scamacca G. 57. Sportiello M. (G)	30. David J. 4. Gatti F. 8. Koopmeiners T. 18. Kostic F. 14. Milik A. 21. Miretti F. 20. Openda L. 23. Pinsoglio C. (G) 51. Radu R. (G) 11. Zhegrova E.
Coaches
Palladino R.	Spalletti L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
48', 0 - 1, Boga J. ⚽,
55', Zalewski N. ↓, Raspadori G. ↑,
58', Yildiz K. ↓, David J. ↑,
66', De Ketelaere C. 🟨,
69', Thuram K. 🟨,
71', Holm E. ↓, Gatti F. ↑,
71', Thuram K. ↓, Koopmeiners T. ↑,
72', Kolasinac S. ↓, Ahanor H. ↑,
72', De Roon M. ↓, Pasalic M. ↑,
72', Krstovic N. ↓, Scamacca G. ↑,
73', Cambiaso A. 🟨,
79', Conceicao F. ↓, Miretti F. ↑,
79', Cambiaso A. ↓, Kostic F. ↑,
84', Kostic F. 🟨,
86', Zappacosta D. ↓, Bellanova R. ↑,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 7 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atalanta won 2.

Recent performances by Atalanta have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Juventus is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Juventus is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Atalanta: Hien I. (Thigh Injury) Scamacca G. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Juventus: Adzic V. (International duty) Cabal J. (Muscle Injury) McKennie W. (Yellow Cards) Perin M. (Injury) Vlahovic D. (Calf Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Atalanta won 4 matches, drew 10 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 25:25. (average 1.3:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Atalanta won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 0.9:1.2).

Outrights of Italian Serie A for now

Juventus: 7.65% Atalanta: 0.79%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Juventus	5	3	1	1	8:4	4	10
11	Atalanta	5	2	0	3	5:7	-2	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atalanta
Italian Serie A
06.04.26	Lecce - Atalanta	0:3 ✺
22.03.26	Atalanta - Verona	1:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
18.03.26	Bayern Munich - Atalanta	4:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
14.03.26	Inter Milan - Atalanta	1:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
10.03.26	Atalanta - Bayern Munich	1:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWLTL
- Juventus
Italian Serie A
06.04.26	Juventus - Genoa	2:0 ✺
21.03.26	Juventus - Sassuolo	1:1 ✺
14.03.26	Udinese - Juventus	0:1 ✺
07.03.26	Juventus - Pisa	4:0 ✺
01.03.26	Roma - Juventus	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Coppa Italia
05.02.26	Atalanta - Juventus	3:0
Italian Serie A
27.09.25	Juventus - Atalanta	1:1
Club Friendly
16.08.25	Atalanta - Juventus	1:2
Italian Serie A
09.03.25	Juventus - Atalanta	0:4
14.01.25	Atalanta - Juventus	1:1
Coppa Italia
15.05.24	Atalanta - Juventus	0:1
Italian Serie A
10.03.24	Juventus - Atalanta	2:2

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