Match Info

Serie A - Round 2

Date: 31 August 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Olimpico di Torino (Turin) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Abisso R. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	SuperSport Variety 1
Albania	18:30	Tring Sport 2
Argentina	13:30	Disney+
Asia	—	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	02:30	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect
Austria	18:30	DAZN
Bosnia And Herzegovina	18:30	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
Brazil	13:30	Disney+
Bulgaria	19:30	Max Sport 2
Canada	12:30	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
Chile	12:30	Disney+
China	00:30	Migu
Colombia	11:30	Disney+
Croatia	18:30	Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go
Denmark	18:30	TV2 Play
Europe	—	Go3 Sport 4 Baltic
Finland	19:30	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+
France	18:30	DAZN France
Germany	18:30	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
Greece	19:30	Cosmote Sport 4K, COSMOTE Sport 7
Hong Kong	00:30	beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live
Indonesia	23:30	Vidio
Israel	19:30	ONE Sport 2
Italy	18:30	DAZN Italia, NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 251, Sky Sport Calcio
Japan	01:30	DAZN Japan
Malaysia	00:30	Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
Malta	18:30	GO TV, TSN Malta 7
Mexico	10:30	Disney+
Norway	18:30	VG+
Peru	11:30	Disney+
Poland	18:30	Eleven Sports 4
Romania	19:30	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 4
Russia	19:30	MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi Arabia	19:30	STC TV
Serbia	18:30	Arena Premium 5
Slovenia	18:30	Arena Sport 3
Spain	18:30	DAZN Espana
Sweden	18:30	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 2
Switzerland	18:30	DAZN Switzerland
Thailand	23:30	True ID, True Premier Football 3
Turkey	19:30	S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 3
Ukraine	19:30	MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	17:30	DAZN, DAZN UK
Uruguay	13:30	Disney+
Usa	12:30	CBS Sports Golazo, DAZN USA, Paramount+
Venezuela	12:30	Disney+


	Torino		Fiorentina

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.1	2.3	Watch
	3.1	3.1	2.45
	3.35	2.98	2.38
	3.63	3.15	2.36
	3.17	3.00	2.41	Watch
	3.1	2.9	2.4
	3.36	3.42	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.3 ↑ (3.21)	3.09 ↓ (3.27)	2.38 ↑ (2.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Torino
28.9%

Draw
30.9%

Fiorentina
40.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

30%

29.4%

40.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.8%

29.2%

41%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Torino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Fiorentina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Torino than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
13.8%	31%	55.2%

Torino - Fiorentina Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Torino will win (votes: 3 - 11.1%). Fiorentina will win (votes: 15 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fiorentina: 36.9% – 74.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Fiorentina (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Torino (2.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Fiorentina (1.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Torino (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Fiorentina (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
81. Israel F. (G) 16. Pedersen M. 13. Maripan G. 23. Coco S. 34. Biraghi C. 22. Casadei C. 32. Asllani K. 8. Ilic I. 26. Ngonge C. 18. Simeone G. 10. Vlasic N. (C)	43. de Gea D. (G) 15. Comuzzo P. 5. Pongracic M. 6. Ranieri L. (C) 2. Dodo 7. Sohm S. 8. Mandragora R. 21. Gosens R. 10. Gudmundsson A. 20. Kean M. 91. Piccoli R.
Substitutes
7. Aboukhlal Z. 19. Adams C. 14. Anjorin F. 21. Dembele A. 66. Gineitis G. 6. Ilkhan E. 20. Lazaro V. 5. Masina A. 92. Njie A. 1. Paleari A. (G) 71. Popa M. (G) 61. Tameze A. 91. Zapata D.	9. Dzeko E. 44. Fagioli N. 22. Fazzini J. 29. Fortini N. 60. Kouadio E. 1. Lezzerini L. (G) 18. Mari P. 30. Martinelli T. (G) 27. Ndour C. 14. Nicolussi Caviglia H. 65. Parisi F. 11. Sabiri A. 26. Viti M.
Coaches
Baroni M.	Pioli S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Sohm S. 🟨,
37', Vlasic N. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Comuzzo P. ↓, Kouadio E. ↑,
46', Sohm S. ↓, Fagioli N. ↑,
62', Simeone G. ↓, Adams C. ↑,
66', Mandragora R. ↓, Ndour C. ↑,
73', Pongracic M. 🟨,
76', Ilic I. ↓, Gineitis G. ↑,
76', Biraghi C. ↓, Lazaro V. ↑,
77', Piccoli R. ↓, Dzeko E. ↑,
81', Asllani K. ↓, Tameze A. ↑,
81', Ngonge C. ↓, Aboukhlal Z. ↑,
83', Gudmundsson A. ↓, Fazzini J. ↑,
86', Lazaro V. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Torino won 0.

Torino is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Fiorentina is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Torino may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Torino: Ismajli A. (Muscle Injury) Savva Z. (Knee Injury) Sazonov S. (Knee Injury) Schuurs P. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Fiorentina: Barak A. (Injury) Kouame C. (Knee Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Torino won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 19:25. (average 1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Torino won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:10. (average 1.2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Torino FC
Italian Serie A
25.08.25	Inter Milan - Torino	5:0 ✺
Coppa Italia
18.08.25	Torino - Modena	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
09.08.25	Valencia - Torino	3:0 ✺
31.07.25	Monaco - Torino	3:1 ✺
30.07.25	Monaco - Torino	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LWLLL
- Fiorentina
UEFA Europa Conference League
28.08.25	Fiorentina - Polissya Zhytomyr	3:2 ✺
Italian Serie A
24.08.25	Cagliari - Fiorentina	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
21.08.25	Polissya Zhytomyr - Fiorentina	0:3 ✺
Club Friendly
09.08.25	Manchester United - Fiorentina	1:1 ✺
05.08.25	Nottingham Forest - Fiorentina	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
19.01.25	Fiorentina - Torino	1:1
03.11.24	Torino - Fiorentina	0:1
02.03.24	Torino - Fiorentina	0:0
29.12.23	Fiorentina - Torino	1:0
21.05.23	Torino - Fiorentina	1:1
Coppa Italia
01.02.23	Fiorentina - Torino	2:1
Italian Serie A
21.01.23	Fiorentina - Torino	0:1

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