Match Info

FNL - Round 16

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Arena Khimki (Khimki)

Referee: Lapatukhin A. (Rus)


	Torpedo Moscow		Chayka Peschanokopskoye

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.82	7.32
	1.43	4.42	7.07	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↑ (1.38)	4.62 (4.62)	7.2 ↓ (8.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Torpedo Moscow
66.5%

Draw
20.4%

Chayka Peschanokopskoye
13.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.7%

20.4%

10.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.5%

19.3%

10.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Torpedo Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Chayka Peschanokopskoye has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Torpedo Moscow than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Torpedo Moscow, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chayka Peschanokopskoye than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Torpedo Moscow - Chayka Peschanokopskoye Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
74. Volkov M. (G) 4. Borodin S. (C) 15. Danilkin E. 22. Kozhemyakin O. 19. Baytukov R. 8. Galoyan A. 27. Orekhov A. 90. Roganovic B. 46. Dunay V. 7. Yushin A. 79. Kashtanov A.	58. Fadeev S. (G) 88. Markelov I. (C) 27. Krutovskikh A. 39. Maslov P. 6. Petin Y. 8. Rosputko O. 7. Gulyaev E. 10. Dzhebov A. 18. Sokolov A. 83. Ishchenko N. 87. Filev A.
Substitutes
17. Alykulov G. 9. Bakic D. 38. Chupayov A. 84. Churilov V. 97. Curic M. 23. Danilin K. 3. Ivankov A. 21. Lomakin A. 5. Moskvichev V. 73. Shitov V. 25. Soldatenko R. (G) 55. Stepanov D.	20. Biblik S. 89. Chervyakov R. 55. Gapeev V. 95. Gerdt A. 69. Gurylev A. 12. Ivannikov D. 19. Ivanov I. 15. Rogochiy B. 96. Sorochinskiy I. (G) 91. Stolyarov D. 38. Topinka S. 22. Uzhgin M.
Coaches
Kononov O.	Kombarov D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
28', 1 - 0, Kashtanov A. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Roganovic B. ↓, Stepanov D. ↑,
56', Markelov I. ↓, Ivannikov D. ↑,
56', Rosputko O. ↓, Biblik S. ↑,
58', 1 - 1, Biblik S. ⚽,
62', Filev A. 🟨,
63', Stepanov D. 🟨,
66', Gulyaev E. ↓, Chervyakov R. ↑,
69', Dunay V. ↓, Chupayov A. ↑,
69', Kashtanov A. ↓, Shitov V. ↑,
72', 2 - 1, Yushin A. ⚽,
76', 3 - 1, Yushin A. ⚽,
78', Yushin A. ↓, Danilin K. ↑,
78', Ishchenko N. ↓, Gurylev A. ↑,
80', Sokolov A. ↓, Gerdt A. ↑,
87', Galoyan A. ↓, Curic M. ↑,
90', 3 - 2, Dzhebov A. ⚽,
90+7', Dzhebov A. 🟨,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 17 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Torpedo won 0.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, Torpedo is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Torpedo won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 1.1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Torpedo won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Torpedo Moscow
Russian FNL
20.10.25	Torpedo Moscow - Shinnik	0:0 ✺
Russian Cup
16.10.25	Torpedo Moscow - Veles Moscow	3:0 ✺
Russian FNL
11.10.25	Arsenal Tula - Torpedo Moscow	2:2 ✺
05.10.25	Torpedo Moscow - Chernomorets Novorossiysk	1:4 ✺
29.09.25	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Torpedo Moscow	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 TWTLW
- Chayka Peschanokopskoye
Russian FNL
20.10.25	Chayka Peschanokopskoye - Ural	0:1 ✺
Russian Cup
15.10.25	Chayka Peschanokopskoye - KAMAZ	1:3 ✺
Russian FNL
11.10.25	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Chayka Peschanokopskoye	2:3 ✺
04.10.25	Chayka Peschanokopskoye - Rodina Moscow	0:0 ✺
28.09.25	Fakel - Chayka Peschanokopskoye	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 29.1 LLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
12.04.25	Chayka Peschanokopskoye - Torpedo Moscow	2:1
03.08.24	Torpedo Moscow - Chayka Peschanokopskoye	1:1
Club Friendly
01.02.22	Chayka Peschanokopskoye - Torpedo Moscow	1:1
Russian Cup
26.08.21	Chayka Peschanokopskoye - Torpedo Moscow	1:0
Russian FNL
06.03.21	Torpedo Moscow - Chayka Peschanokopskoye	1:2
09.09.20	Chayka Peschanokopskoye - Torpedo Moscow	1:2
23.10.19	Torpedo Moscow - Chayka Peschanokopskoye	2:1

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