Match Info

FNL - Round 15

Date: 20 October 2025, Monday

Location: Chayka Central Stadium (Peschanokopskoye)

Referee: Kashirin D. (Rus)


	Chayka Peschanokopskoye		Ural

	1	X	2
	6.14	4.43	1.51
	5.91	4.33	1.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.03 ↓ (7.21)	4.38 ↑ (4.18)	1.51 ↑ (1.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chayka Peschanokopskoye
15.7%

Draw
21.6%

Ural
62.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.3%

22.9%

63.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.8%

23.8%

66.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chayka Peschanokopskoye has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Ural has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chayka Peschanokopskoye than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ural than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Chayka Peschanokopskoye - Ural Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Peschanokopskoye will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Ural will win (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
58. Fadeev S. (G) 6. Petin Y. 39. Maslov P. 27. Krutovskikh A. 88. Markelov I. (C) 8. Rosputko O. 10. Dzhebov A. 18. Sokolov A. 83. Ishchenko N. 7. Gulyaev E. 87. Filev A.	57. Selikhov A. (G) 4. Bardachev M. 16. Italo 17. Miguel G. 24. Filipenko E. (C) 14. Zheleznov Y. 22. Leo Cordeiro 37. Bondarev V. 42. Mosin E. 97. Ishkov I. 10. Sekulic M.
Substitutes
20. Biblik S. 89. Chervyakov R. 55. Gapeev V. 95. Gerdt A. 69. Gurylev A. 12. Ivannikov D. 19. Ivanov I. 14. Kaptilovich D. 96. Sorochinskiy I. (G) 91. Stolyarov D. 38. Topinka S. 22. Uzhgin M.	5. Ayupov T. 11. Karapuzov V. 59. Kharin E. 86. Kuznetsov I. (G) 44. Malkevich V. 46. Mamin A. 34. Margasov T. 20. Markov E. 18. Morozov N. 6. Sungatulin F. 50. Voronov M.
Coaches
Kombarov D.	Romashchenko M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
17', 0 - 1, Ishkov I. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
54', Miguel G. 🟥,
60', Gulyaev E. ↓, Chervyakov R. ↑,
60', Sekulic M. ↓, Voronov M. ↑,
60', Zheleznov Y. ↓, Malkevich V. ↑,
67', Filev A. ↓, Biblik S. ↑,
67', Dzhebov A. ↓, Gerdt A. ↑,
69', Mosin E. ↓, Karapuzov V. ↑,
69', Leo Cordeiro ↓, Ayupov T. ↑,
78', Ishkov I. ↓, Morozov N. ↑,
82', Markelov I. ↓, Ivannikov D. ↑,
82', Rosputko O. ↓, Kaptilovich D. ↑,
90+2', Selikhov A. 🟨,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 5).

Peschanokopskoye has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Ural has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Ural is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Peschanokopskoye won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Peschanokopskoye won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chayka Peschanokopskoye
Russian Cup
15.10.25	Chayka Peschanokopskoye - KAMAZ	1:3 ✺
Russian FNL
11.10.25	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Chayka Peschanokopskoye	2:3 ✺
04.10.25	Chayka Peschanokopskoye - Rodina Moscow	0:0 ✺
28.09.25	Fakel - Chayka Peschanokopskoye	0:0 ✺
Russian Cup
24.09.25	Znamya Truda - Chayka Peschanokopskoye	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 32.6 LWTTW
- FK Ural
Russian Cup
16.10.25	Fakel - Ural	1:0 ✺
Russian FNL
06.10.25	KAMAZ - Ural	5:1 ✺
29.09.25	Ural - SKA Khabarovsk	1:2 ✺
Russian Cup
23.09.25	Dinskaya - Ural	1:2 ✺
Russian FNL
20.09.25	Ural - Rotor	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
01.12.24	Chayka Peschanokopskoye - Ural	1:1
18.08.24	Ural - Chayka Peschanokopskoye	2:0

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