Match Info

FNL - Round 13

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Chayka Central Stadium (Peschanokopskoye)

Referee: Anopa A. (Rus)


	Chayka Peschanokopskoye		Rodina Moscow

	1	X	2
	6.16	3.95	1.57
	6.44	3.94	1.57	Watch
	5.8	3.65	1.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.13 ↑ (5.97)	3.85 ↑ (3.57)	1.56 ↓ (1.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chayka Peschanokopskoye
15.3%

Draw
24.4%

Rodina Moscow
60.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.7%

26.2%

58.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15%

25.1%

60.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chayka Peschanokopskoye has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Rodina Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chayka Peschanokopskoye than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rodina Moscow than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Chayka Peschanokopskoye - Rodina Moscow Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Rodina (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Rodina (1.12) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Rodina (1.16) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Rodina (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
58. Fadeev S. (G) 24. Pridava N. 39. Maslov P. 27. Krutovskikh A. 6. Petin Y. 18. Sokolov A. 8. Rosputko O. 91. Stolyarov D. 78. Chernyakov D. 89. Chervyakov R. 7. Gulyaev E.	13. Volkov S. (G) 49. Dyatlov I. 55. Krizan M. 26. Meshchaninov A. (C) 80. Bessmertniy S. 6. Fishchenko R. 23. Ushatov K. 10. Reyna Y. 72. Gordyushenko A. 77. Koryan A. 9. Maksimenko A.
Substitutes
20. Biblik S. 10. Dzhebov A. 55. Gapeev V. 69. Gurylev A. 83. Ishchenko N. 19. Ivanov I. 14. Kaptilovich D. 88. Markelov I. 15. Rogochiy B. 96. Sorochinskiy I. (G) 38. Topinka S. 22. Uzhgin M.	1. Aydarov S. (G) 22. Beskibalniy A. 20. Kontsevoy A. 11. Kozhedub S. 52. Kuzmichev I. 38. Musaev L. 98. Pavlov N. (G) 88. Sokol A.
Coaches
Kombarov D.	Diaz J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
42', Krizan M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Ushatov K. ↓, Musaev L. ↑,
46', Koryan A. ↓, Kozhedub S. ↑,
46', Gordyushenko A. ↓, Kontsevoy A. ↑,
58', Chervyakov R. ↓, Ishchenko N. ↑,
65', Musaev L. 🟨,
70', Gulyaev E. 🟨,
70', Gulyaev E. ↓, Dzhebov A. ↑,
70', Filev A. ↓, Biblik S. ↑,
73', Sokolov A. 🟨,
90+2', Rosputko O. 🟨,
90+3', Reyna Y. 🟨,
90+3', 🟨,
90+4', 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 6).

Peschanokopskoye is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Rodina is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Recently, Peschanokopskoye has had a series of away games.

In this match, Rodina is considered a favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Peschanokopskoye won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).

Including home match between the teams, Peschanokopskoye won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chayka Peschanokopskoye
Russian FNL
28.09.25	Fakel - Chayka Peschanokopskoye	0:0 ✺
Russian Cup
24.09.25	Znamya Truda - Chayka Peschanokopskoye	0:1 ✺
Russian FNL
20.09.25	Chayka Peschanokopskoye - Spartak Kostroma	2:4 ✺
15.09.25	Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Chayka Peschanokopskoye	4:1 ✺
08.09.25	Chelyabinsk - Chayka Peschanokopskoye	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 TWLLL
- Rodina Moscow
Russian FNL
29.09.25	Rodina Moscow - Sokol Saratov	2:0 ✺
Russian Cup
24.09.25	SKA Khabarovsk - Rodina Moscow	0:3 ✺
Russian FNL
20.09.25	Chelyabinsk - Rodina Moscow	4:0 ✺
15.09.25	Rodina Moscow - Fakel	2:0 ✺
07.09.25	Rodina Moscow - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
10.11.24	Rodina Moscow - Chayka Peschanokopskoye	2:0
11.08.24	Chayka Peschanokopskoye - Rodina Moscow	2:2

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