Match Info

Date: 12 November 2020, Thursday


	Torpedo Vladimir		Rodina Moscow

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.4	3.6	Watch
	2.2	3.5	2.75
	2.15	3.5	2.75
	2.16	3.4	2.7
	2.19	3.51	2.65
	2.21	3.64	2.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↑ (1.85)	3.49 ↑ (3.4)	2.87 ↓ (3.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Torpedo Vladimir
42.6%

Draw
25.9%

Rodina Moscow
31.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.6%

26.4%

25%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.7%

20.1%

19.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Torpedo Vladimir has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Torpedo Vladimir's form might have worsened.

Rodina Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rodina Moscow's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Torpedo Vladimir than the current prediction. (+21.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Torpedo Vladimir, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rodina Moscow than the current prediction. (-12.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rodina Moscow, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Torpedo Vladimir - Rodina Moscow Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

The neighbours in a tournament table will play in a very interesting match (ranked 6 and 8).

Torpedo Vladimir is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Rodina is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Torpedo Vladimir will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Torpedo Vladimir won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Torpedo Vladimir won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Torpedo Vladimir
Russian FNL 2 Group 2
07.11.20	Rodina Moscow - Torpedo Vladimir	3:1 ✺
18.10.20	Volga Tver - Torpedo Vladimir	1:2 ✺
13.10.20	Torpedo Vladimir - Olimp Dolgoprudny	3:1 ✺
09.10.20	Smolensk - Torpedo Vladimir	1:4 ✺
03.10.20	Torpedo Vladimir - Luki-Energiya	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.8 LWWWW
- Rodina Moscow
Russian FNL 2 Group 2
07.11.20	Rodina Moscow - Torpedo Vladimir	3:1 ✺
18.10.20	Olimp Dolgoprudny - Rodina Moscow	2:1 ✺
13.10.20	Rodina Moscow - Volga Tver	2:3 ✺
09.10.20	Luki-Energiya - Rodina Moscow	0:1 ✺
04.10.20	Rodina Moscow - Smolensk	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Group 2
07.11.20	Rodina Moscow - Torpedo Vladimir	3:1
Russian Cup
19.08.20	Torpedo Vladimir - Rodina Moscow	0:2
Russian PFL West
23.08.19	Rodina Moscow - Torpedo Vladimir	4:2

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