Match Info

ENGLAND: National League South - Round 4

Date: 26 August 2024, Monday


	Aveley		Slough Town

	1	X	2
	3	3.4	2
	3.2	3.6	2.05
	3.19	3.51	2.08
	3.18	3.53	2.04
	3.1	3.4	2.05
	3.17	3.54	2.08
	3.2	3.6	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.15 ↑ (3.02)	3.51 ↑ (3.38)	2.05 ↓ (2.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aveley
29.1%

Draw
26.1%

Slough Town
44.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.8%

27.5%

41.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.4%

26.2%

43.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aveley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Slough Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aveley than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Slough Town than the current prediction. (-1%)

Aveley - Slough Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
20', 0 - 1, Abisogun G. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
68', 0 - 2, Gilbert J. ⚽,
85', 0 - 3, Lucan K. C. ⚽,

Preview

Aveley is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Slough is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Slough will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Aveley won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Aveley won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aveley
English National League South
24.08.24	Eastbourne Borough - Aveley	2:1 ✺
19.08.24	Aveley - Hemel Hempstead Town	0:1 ✺
17.08.24	Aveley - Tonbridge Angels	2:2 ✺
10.08.24	Welling United - Aveley	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
23.07.24	Canvey Island - Aveley	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 LLTLT
- Slough Town
English National League South
24.08.24	Slough Town - Hornchurch	2:1 ✺
20.08.24	Enfield Town - Slough Town	1:6 ✺
17.08.24	Salisbury - Slough Town	1:0 ✺
10.08.24	Slough Town - Chelmsford City	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
03.08.24	Hanwell Town - Slough Town	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
23.12.23	Aveley - Slough Town	0:2
09.09.23	Slough Town - Aveley	2:0

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