Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE - ROUND 31

Date: 4 February 2023, Saturday

Location: Plainmoor (Torquay)


	Torquay United		Notts County

	1	X	2
	8.5	4.5	1.33
	6.75	4.8	1.32
	8	5.2	1.29
	7.2	4.9	1.31
	8.13	5.13	1.36
	8.5	4.6	1.3
	7.5	5.1	1.34
	7.2	5	1.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.72 ↑ (6.6)	4.9 ↑ (4.4)	1.32 ↓ (1.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Torquay United
11.9%

Draw
18.7%

Notts County
69.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.9%

20.9%

65.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.6%

23.1%

71.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Torquay United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Notts County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Torquay United than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Notts County than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Torquay United - Notts County Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Torquay won 2.

Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.

In this match Notts County is certain favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Torquay won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Torquay won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 11-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Torquay United
English National League
31.01.23	Woking - Torquay United	1:1 ✺
28.01.23	Torquay United - Maidstone United	1:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
17.01.23	Torquay United - Taunton Town	4:2 ✺
English National League
07.01.23	Torquay United - Halifax Town	1:0 ✺
01.01.23	Yeovil Town - Torquay United	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 TWWWL
- Notts County
English National League
31.01.23	Solihull Moors - Notts County	1:2 ✺
28.01.23	Notts County - Halifax Town	1:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
15.01.23	Notts County - Maidstone United	2:3 pen. ✺
English National League
10.01.23	Notts County - Boreham Wood	1:1 ✺
07.01.23	Aldershot Town - Notts County	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

English National League
29.10.22	Notts County - Torquay United	4:0
09.04.22	Torquay United - Notts County	5:1
28.08.21	Notts County - Torquay United	1:1
12.06.21	Torquay United - Notts County	4:2 ET
24.04.21	Torquay United - Notts County	2:2
23.01.21	Notts County - Torquay United	0:0
12.10.19	Notts County - Torquay United	2:0

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