Match Info

ENGLAND: FA TROPHY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 15 January 2023, Sunday

Location: Meadow Lane (Nottingham)


	Notts County		Maidstone United

	1	X	2
	1.29	5	7.25
	1.32	4.7	7
	1.29	5	7.4
	1.31	5.1	8.6
	1.29	4.6	8.5
	1.3	5.45	8.5
	1.3	5	7.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (1.32)	4.98 ↑ (4.93)	7.84 ↓ (8)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Notts County
70.1%

Draw
18.3%

Maidstone United
11.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.8%

18.7%

11.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

75.7%

17.2%

10.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Notts County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Maidstone United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Notts County than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Notts County, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maidstone United than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Notts County - Maidstone United Predictions

Users Predictions: Notts County will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Notts County is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Maidstone is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Notts County could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Notts County is certain favorite.

Our prediction for today's Notts County to win the game is with odds 1.32.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Notts County won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Notts County won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Notts County
English National League
10.01.23	Notts County - Boreham Wood	1:1 ✺
07.01.23	Aldershot Town - Notts County	0:3 ✺
01.01.23	Oldham Athletic - Notts County	2:2 ✺
26.12.22	Notts County - Oldham Athletic	4:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
20.12.22	Notts County - Chorley	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 TWTWW
- Maidstone United
English National League
07.01.23	York City - Maidstone United	4:1 ✺
02.01.23	Maidstone United - Dagenham & Redbridge	0:1 ✺
26.12.22	Dagenham & Redbridge - Maidstone United	1:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
20.12.22	Maidstone United - Worthing	2:0 ✺
English National League
13.12.22	Dorking Wanderers - Maidstone United	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

English National League
21.10.22	Notts County - Maidstone United	3:0

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