Match Info

Date: 1 October 2022, Saturday

Location: Plainmoor (Torquay)


	Torquay United		Scunthorpe United

	1	X	2
	2.6	3.3	2.6
	2.45	3.2	2.5
	2.55	3.15	2.7
	2.55	3.3	2.55
	2.67	3.46	2.63
	2.3	3.2	2.8
	2.58	3.44	2.55
	2.5	3.25	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↑ (2.22)	3.29 ↑ (3.1)	2.61 ↓ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Torquay United
36.6%

Draw
28.1%

Scunthorpe United
35.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

29.6%

29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

28.5%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Torquay United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Scunthorpe United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Scunthorpe United's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Torquay United than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Torquay United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Scunthorpe United than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Scunthorpe United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	10%	40%

Torquay United - Scunthorpe United Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Torquay will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Scunthorpe will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Torquay: 19% – 81%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation and 21 in the zone Relegation).

Torquay is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Scunthorpe is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently Scunthorpe have a series of home games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Torquay won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Torquay won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Torquay United
English National League
24.09.22	Wrexham - Torquay United	6:0 ✺
17.09.22	Wealdstone - Torquay United	1:1 ✺
13.09.22	Torquay United - Solihull Moors	1:4 ✺
03.09.22	Southend United - Torquay United	1:2 ✺
29.08.22	Torquay United - Woking	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LTLWL
- Scunthorpe United
English National League
24.09.22	Scunthorpe United - Dorking Wanderers	3:2 ✺
17.09.22	Scunthorpe United - York City	1:1 ✺
13.09.22	Altrincham - Scunthorpe United	2:2 ✺
03.09.22	Scunthorpe United - Boreham Wood	0:2 ✺
29.08.22	Scunthorpe United - Halifax Town	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WTTLL

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
05.04.14	Torquay United - Scunthorpe United	0:1
30.11.13	Scunthorpe United - Torquay United	3:1

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