Match Info

Date: 11 December 2021, Saturday


	Torquay United		Stockport County

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.75	1.85
	3.9	3.45	1.85
	3.5	3.45	1.95
	4.15	3.66	1.88
	3.6	3.3	1.91
	3.78	3.7	1.91
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.79 ↑ (3.76)	3.55 ↓ (3.65)	1.89 ↑ (1.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Torquay United
24.6%

Draw
26.2%

Stockport County
49.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.7%

25.4%

49.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.6%

20.1%

63%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Torquay United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Stockport County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Torquay United than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stockport County than the current prediction. (+13.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Stockport County could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Torquay United - Stockport County Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 16 and 9).

Recent matches Torquay is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Stockport is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Stockport could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Stockport will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Torquay won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Torquay won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Torquay United
English National League
04.12.21	Weymouth - Torquay United	1:2 ✺
27.11.21	Torquay United - Halifax Town	2:3 ✺
23.11.21	Aldershot Town - Torquay United	1:0 ✺
20.11.21	Barnet - Torquay United	2:1 ✺
13.11.21	Torquay United - Dover Athletic	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLLLW
- Stockport County
English FA Cup
03.12.21	Rotherham United - Stockport County	1:0 ✺
English National League
27.11.21	Wealdstone - Stockport County	1:4 ✺
23.11.21	Stockport County - King`s Lynn Town	5:0 ✺
20.11.21	Woking - Stockport County	1:2 ✺
English FA Cup
17.11.21	Stockport County - Bolton Wanderers	5:3 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League
16.05.21	Stockport County - Torquay United	2:2
03.10.20	Torquay United - Stockport County	1:0
30.11.19	Torquay United - Stockport County	1:5
28.09.19	Stockport County - Torquay United	0:4

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