Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL 2 - ROUND 6

Date: 2 October 2023, Monday

Referee: Menelaos A. (Cyp)


	Torreense		Belenenses

	1	X	2
	1.53	3.6	6.5
	1.53	3.6	5.5
	1.57	3.75	6	Watch
	1.57	4.14	6.25
	1.53	3.7	5.5
	1.54	3.9	5.75
	1.56	3.65	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.73)	3.76 ↑ (3.2)	5.84 ↑ (4.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Torreense
59.7%

Draw
24.5%

Belenenses
15.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.9%

28.1%

20%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.4%

26.8%

19.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Torreense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Torreense's performance.

Belenenses has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Torreense than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Torreense that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Belenenses than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.7%	0%	27.3%

Torreense - Belenenses Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Torreense will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Belenenses will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Torreense: 46.4% – 99%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vagner (G) 2. Campos N. 5. Afonso J. (C) 80. Keffel 14. Elimbi M. G. 30. Balanta J. 77. Neneco 31. Joaozinho 21. Rodrigues A. 10. Welthon F. S. 20. Correa J.	22. Grilo D. (G) 18. Attard C. 13. Serra A. 37. Akas C. 48. Manso T. 19. Valente D. (C) 28. Cruz H. 21. Pina R. 12. Dini F. 10. Tavares M. 9. Matos R.
Substitutes
11. Antoine C. 8. Benny 24. Da Rocha Borges R. 40. Gomez P. 3. Gonzalez F. 32. Guzman S. 29. Patrick 12. Ricardo Fernandes (G) 6. Tavares D.	25. Carvalho P. 16. Chapi 7. Cle 3. Fabao 77. Keita M. 17. Moninhas T. 14. Oliveira G. (G) 11. Sambu M. 99. Silva M.
Coaches
Ferreira R.	Dias B.

Preview

Torreense in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Belenenses is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Belenenses could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Torreense is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Torreense to win the game is with odds 1.6.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Torreense won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SCU Torreense
Taça de Portugal
24.09.23	Oriental - Torreense	0:1 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
17.09.23	Benfica B - Torreense	0:2 ✺
03.09.23	Torreense - Oliveirense	3:1 ✺
27.08.23	AVS - Torreense	0:0 ✺
21.08.23	Torreense - Nacional	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 WWWTW
- Os Belenenses
Portuguese Liga 2
17.09.23	Belenenses - Leiria	0:5 ✺
01.09.23	Tondela - Belenenses	0:1 ✺
26.08.23	Belenenses - Mafra	1:1 ✺
20.08.23	Belenenses - Porto B	1:1 ✺
12.08.23	AVS - Belenenses	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Taça de Portugal
01.10.22	Belenenses - Torreense	3:1

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