Match Info

Liga Portugal 2 - Round 7

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estádio João Cardoso (Tondela) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Ferreira V. (Por)


	Tondela		Torreense

	1	X	2
	2.38	3.10	2.90
	2.25	3.00	2.85
	2.48	3.05	2.60
	2.45	3.16	3.18
	2.36	3.14	3.12	Watch
	2.40	3.10	3.10
	2.42	3.16	2.95	Watch
	2.37	3.05	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↑ (2.35)	3.1 ↓ (3.12)	2.94 ↓ (3.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tondela
38.7%

Draw
29.9%

Torreense
31.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

39.8%

30%

30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41%

29.1%

29.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tondela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Torreense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tondela than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Torreense than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	75%	0%

Tondela - Torreense Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Tondela will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Carlao (G) 15. Carraca 4. Marques C. 6. Farru 12. Ze Ricardo 97. Cicero 37. Mateus Sarara 26. van der Heide A. 20. Felix H. 7. Cascavel 19. Tomane	31. Adriel (G) 22. David Bruno 4. Volnei 5. Mohamed D. 23. Vazquez J. (C) 6. Oudrhiri A. 8. Alfaro A. 29. Quintero L. 33. Marques J. 7. Jean D. 27. Abubakari M.
Substitutes
5. Afonso J. 22. Almeida B. 2. Bebeto 1. Canizares L. (G) 95. da Silva R. (G) 14. Huarte X. 9. Joao Lima 3. Kamga I. 11. Richarllyson 13. Sithole Y. 8. Tavares H. 77. Tiago Dias	3. Alcedo J. 17. Drammeh M. 21. Jatta N. 1. Lucas Paes (G) 45. Mutombo J. 28. Perez H. 11. Pozo M. 20. Reina C. 77. Romero J. 26. Simoes A. 2. Stopira 19. Zoabi K.
Coaches
Costa R.	Tralhao L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
22', Cicero 🟨,
31', Carraca 🟨,
35', Marques J. 🟨,
45+2', Abubakari M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', Adriel 🟥,
57', Jean D. 🟨,
59', Canizares L. 🟥,
61', Farru 🟨,
62', Quintero L. ↓, Lucas Paes ↑,
62', Carraca ↓, Bebeto ↑,
72', Abubakari M. ↓, Drammeh M. ↑,
72', Jean D. ↓, Jatta N. ↑,
73', Cicero ↓, Tiago Dias ↑,
74', Felix H. ↓, Sithole Y. ↑,
74', Mohamed D. 🟥,
78', Alfaro A. ↓, Simoes A. ↑,
78', Marques J. ↓, Stopira ↑,
87', van der Heide A. ↓, Richarllyson ↑,
87', Mateus Sarara ↓, Joao Lima ↑,
90+4', Bebeto 🟨,
90+6', Richarllyson 🟥,
90+10', 1 - 0, Cascavel ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table side takes on an opponent fighting to pull away from the danger zone (ranked 10th and 14th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tondela won 3.

Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, Tondela has recorded 4 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 13:7 (averaging 1.6:0.9 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Tondela against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss, with 5:6 goals (averaging 1.3:1.5 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Tondela	8	4	0	4	9:8	1	12
13	Torreense	8	2	3	3	8:10	-2	9

Last Results with these Odds

Tondela - the odds 2.35 are the expected chance of winning is 39.78%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Torreense - the odds 3.09 are the expected chance of winning is 30.25%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Tondela
Taça de Portugal
19.09.26	Imortal - Tondela	1:5 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
12.09.26	Portimonense - Tondela	0:2 ✺
05.09.26	Tondela - Porto B	3:0 ✺
28.08.26	Leiria - Tondela	2:0 ✺
21.08.26	Tondela - Académica Coimbra	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWWLL
- SCU Torreense
UEFA Europa League
17.09.26	Lillestrøm SK - Torreense	1:2 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
11.09.26	Torreense - Leixões	0:0 ✺
05.09.26	Benfica B - Torreense	0:2 ✺
29.08.26	Torreense - Vizela	0:3 ✺
22.08.26	Lusitânia - Torreense	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 WTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
01.03.25	Tondela - Torreense	2:2
04.10.24	Torreense - Tondela	0:2
15.03.24	Torreense - Tondela	0:1
Taça de Portugal
26.11.23	Torreense - Tondela	1:2 penalties
Portuguese Liga 2
05.11.23	Tondela - Torreense	1:2
04.03.23	Tondela - Torreense	1:1
Portuguese League Cup
24.11.22	Tondela - Torreense	1:1

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