Match Info

Super Lig - Round 32

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Papara Park (Trabzon)

Referee: Ergun O. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Trabzonspor		Göztepe

	1	X	2
	1.66	4	4.33	Watch
	1.8	3.7	4.1
	1.71	3.77	4.45	Watch
	1.75	4.01	4.88
	1.72	3.99	4.53	Watch
	1.73	3.6	4.33
	1.76	3.97	4.78	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (1.94)	3.86 ↑ (3.72)	4.49 ↑ (3.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Trabzonspor
54.5%

Draw
24.4%

Göztepe
21.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.7%

25.4%

25.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49%

25.2%

25.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Trabzonspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Trabzonspor's performance.

Göztepe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trabzonspor than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Trabzonspor that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Göztepe than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	28.6%	14.3%

Trabzonspor - Göztepe Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Trabzonspor will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%). Göztepe will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 30.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Trabzonspor: 35% – 88%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Trabzonspor (1.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Trabzonspor (1.32) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Trabzonspor (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Onana A. (G) 20. Pina W. 27. Nwaiwu C. 74. Malkocoglu S. 19. Eskihellac M. 8. Bouchouari B. 26. Jabol-Folcarelli T. 11. Tufan O. 10. Muci E. 99. Felipe Augusto 30. Onuachu P. (C)	1. Lis M. (C) 3. Allan Godoi 5. Heliton 26. Bokele M. 2. Kurtulan A. 30. Dennis A. 20. Miroshi N. 15. Cherni A. 8. Antunes A. 9. Juan Santos 39. Janderson
Substitutes
17. Cakiroglu O. 25. Cevikkan O. (G) 42. Inao Oulai C. 14. Lovik M. 18. Nayir U. 9. Nwakaeme A. 88. Yildirim A. (G) 22. Zubkov O.	4. Altikardes T. 77. Bayrak O. 14. Guilherme Luiz 19. Jeh 12. Koybasi I. 10. Krastev F. 6. Mohammed M. 33. Ozturk S. (G) 22. Yildiz U.
Coaches
Tekke F.	Stoilov S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
25', Bouchouari B. 🟨,
32', 0 - 1, Juan Santos ⚽, Kurtulan A. (A),
40', Eskihellac M. 🟨,
42', Eskihellac M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Muci E. ↓, Inao Oulai C. ↑,
57', Antunes A. 🟨,
68', Janderson 🟨,
69', Bouchouari B. ↓, Zubkov O. ↑,
69', Malkocoglu S. ↓, Lovik M. ↑,
76', Dennis A. ↓, Mohammed M. ↑,
76', Antunes A. ↓, Krastev F. ↑,
80', Pina W. 🟨,
81', Kurtulan A. 🟨,
84', Heliton 🟨,
85', Felipe Augusto ↓, Nayir U. ↑,
88', Janderson ↓, Jeh ↑,
88', Juan Santos ↓, Guilherme Luiz ↑,
90+3', 1 - 1, Nayir U. ⚽, Lovik M. (A),
90+6', Inao Oulai C. 🟨,
90+6', Miroshi N. ↓, Altikardes T. ↑,
90+7', Onuachu P. 🟨,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: ) and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Trabzonspor won 3.

Trabzonspor is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Göztepe has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Göztepe may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Trabzonspor is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Trabzonspor: Batagov A. (Knee Injury) Savic S. (Inactive) Visca E. (Foot Injury) Yokuslu O. (Inactive)

There will not play in Göztepe: Bayir F. (Inactive) Komur E. (Suspended) Malak I. (Suspended)

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Trabzonspor won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 22:15. (average 1.6:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Trabzonspor won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:6. (average 1.3:0.9).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Trabzonspor	7	4	1	2	16:5	11	13
17	Goztepe	6	0	3	3	11:15	-4	3

Last Results with these Odds

Trabzonspor - the odds 1.94 are the expected chance of winning is 48.71%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Trabzonspor
Turkish Super League
27.04.26	Konyaspor - Trabzonspor	2:1 ✺
Turkish Cup
23.04.26	Samsunspor - Trabzonspor	0:1 penalties ✺
Turkish Super League
19.04.26	Trabzonspor - İstanbul Başakşehir	1:1 ✺
11.04.26	Alanyaspor - Trabzonspor	0:1 ✺
04.04.26	Trabzonspor - Galatasaray	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 LWTWW
- Göztepe
Turkish Super League
25.04.26	Göztepe - Antalyaspor	2:0 ✺
18.04.26	Kocaelispor - Göztepe	1:1 ✺
12.04.26	Göztepe - Kasımpaşa	3:3 ✺
08.04.26	Göztepe - Galatasaray	1:3 ✺
04.04.26	Gençlerbirliği - Göztepe	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Super League
07.12.25	Göztepe - Trabzonspor	1:2
Turkish Cup
24.04.25	Trabzonspor - Göztepe	2:0
Turkish Super League
29.03.25	Trabzonspor - Göztepe	1:1
26.10.24	Göztepe - Trabzonspor	2:1
12.03.22	Trabzonspor - Göztepe	4:2
23.10.21	Göztepe - Trabzonspor	0:1
28.04.21	Göztepe - Trabzonspor	1:1

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