The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Basel 41.5%
Draw 27.6%
Trabzonspor 30.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
43.9%
29.1%
27%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.2%
29.3%
26.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Basel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
Trabzonspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Basel than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trabzonspor than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
31.6%
31.6%
36.8%
Basel - Trabzonspor Predictions
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. Basel will win (votes: 6 - 31.6%). Trabzonspor will win (votes: 7 - 36.8%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 31.6%). Confidence interval (95%) for Trabzonspor: 15.1% โ 58.5%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Basel has currently - 11, has not chance of 1st, was already of 2nd, has not chance of 3rd, was already of knockout phase, has a chance of round of 16 (22%), has a small chance of qtrs (7%), has a very small chance of semis (2%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Trabzonspor has currently - , has not chance of 1st, has not chance of 2nd, has not chance of 3rd, was already of knockout phase, has a good chance of round of 16 (78%), has a chance of qtrs (33%), has a small chance of semis (14%), has a very small chance of final (5%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).
This event has quality47, small importance22, match rating35. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
The game of competitors is shaky now.
Trabzonspor could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
There will not play in Basel: Augustin J.
(Muscle Injury)
There are questionable in Basel: Calafiori R.
(Muscle Injury)
Comas A.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Trabzonspor: Hamsik M.
(Calf Injury)
Tokoz D.
(Knee Injury)
Visca E.
(Collarbone injury)
Last 3 head-to-head matches Basel won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.
Including matches at home between the teams Basel won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.