Match Info

League Two - Round 14

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Prenton Park (Birkenhead)

Referee: Oldham S. (Eng)


	Tranmere Rovers		Chesterfield

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.2	2.4	Watch
	2.78	3.35	2.42	Watch
	2.76	3.4	2.54
	3.02	3.39	2.21	Watch
	2.82	3.23	2.47	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.83 ↓ (3.07)	3.31 ↓ (3.4)	2.41 ↑ (2.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tranmere Rovers
33%

Draw
28.2%

Chesterfield
38.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.4%

27.5%

42.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.5%

26.7%

43.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tranmere Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Chesterfield has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tranmere Rovers than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chesterfield than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Tranmere Rovers - Chesterfield Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Tranmere will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Chesterfield will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Murphy J. (G) 2. Norman C. 5. Smith N. 3. Brough P. 30. McGowan A. 6. Smallwood R. (C) 24. Blacker B. 11. Patrick O. 18. Jennings C. 7. Whitaker C. 10. Davison J.	1. Hemming Z. (G) 20. Daley-Campbell V. 22. Dunkley C. (C) 6. McFadzean K. 19. Gordon L. 4. Naylor T. 8. Stirk R. 24. Markanday D. 7. Mandeville L. 28. Berry-McNally J. 10. Bonis L.
Substitutes
12. Barrett J. (G) 25. Harris T. 14. Joseph J. 42. Kenneh N. 22. O'Connor L. 17. Solomon S.	23. Boot R. (G) 27. Darcy R. 44. Donacien J. 11. Duffy D. 13. Fleck J. 9. Grigg W. 3. Lewis A.
Coaches
Crosby A.	Cook P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Patrick O. (Own goal),
26', Stirk R. 🟨,
40', Dunkley C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
70', Berry-McNally J. ↓, Duffy D. ↑,
70', Mandeville L. ↓, Darcy R. ↑,
78', Davison J. ↓, Solomon S. ↑,
78', Whitaker C. ↓, Harris T. ↑,
78', Norman C. ↓, Joseph J. ↑,
89', Bonis L. ↓, Grigg W. ↑,
90+3', 1 - 1, Jennings C. ⚽, Blacker B. (A),

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 18 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Tranmere has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Chesterfield is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Chesterfield has had a series of home games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Tranmere: Dennis K. (Calf Injury) McGee L. (Hip Injury) Williams J. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Chesterfield: Butterfield L. (Foot Injury) Dibley-Dias M. (Knee Injury) Elliott G. (Inactive) Grigg W. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Tranmere: Bristow E. (Injury) Lowe J. (Injury) O'Connor L. (Inactive) Turnbull J. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Chesterfield: Williams T. (Surgery)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tranmere won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 1.2:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Tranmere won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 3:0.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Chesterfield - the odds 2.21 are the expected chance of winning is 42.13%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tranmere Rovers
English League Two
18.10.25	Bristol Rovers - Tranmere Rovers	1:4 ✺
11.10.25	Tranmere Rovers - Barnet	0:2 ✺
English EFL Trophy
07.10.25	Barrow - Tranmere Rovers	1:2 ✺
English League Two
04.10.25	Bromley - Tranmere Rovers	3:3 ✺
27.09.25	Tranmere Rovers - Cambridge United	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 WLWTT
- Chesterfield
English League Two
18.10.25	Chesterfield - Fleetwood Town	1:1 ✺
11.10.25	Chesterfield - Salford City	2:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
07.10.25	Chesterfield - Burton Albion	1:0 ✺
English League Two
04.10.25	Colchester United - Chesterfield	6:2 ✺
27.09.25	Chesterfield - Newport County	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
05.04.25	Tranmere Rovers - Chesterfield	4:0
07.12.24	Chesterfield - Tranmere Rovers	3:0
English FA Cup
01.12.12	Tranmere Rovers - Chesterfield	2:1
English League Cup
14.08.12	Chesterfield - Tranmere Rovers	N/A

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