The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Chesterfield 42.7%
Draw 25.1%
Burton Albion 32.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.3%
25.4%
30.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.9%
25.1%
29.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chesterfield has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
Burton Albion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chesterfield than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burton Albion than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Chesterfield - Burton Albion Predictions
Users Predictions:
Chesterfield will win
(6 of 6 users predict this - 100%). Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Chesterfield will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
23. Boot R. (G) 20. Daley-Campbell V. 6. McFadzean K. 44. Donacien J. 3. Lewis A. 4. Naylor T. (C) 13. Fleck J. 24. Markanday D. 27. Darcy R. 28. Berry-McNally J. 25. Dickson W.
21. Amissah J. (G) 15. Lofthouse K. (C) 26. Delap F. 39. Taroni J. 14. Akoto N. 4. Chauke K. 7. McKiernan J. J. 25. Gilligan C. 3. Armer J. 41. Krubally S. 11. Tavares F.
Substitutes
10. Bonis L. 17. Dobra A. 19. Gordon L. 5. Grimes J. 7. Mandeville L. 8. Stirk R. 30. Tanton D.
27. Dudek K. (G) 2. Godwin-Malife U. 16. Hartridge A. 49. Lay M. 48. Matthews D. 8. Webster C. 50. Williamson J.
Coaches
Cook P.
Bowyer G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
33', Naylor T. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Fleck J. ↓, Stirk R. ↑,
46', Armer J. ↓, Hartridge A. ↑,
46', Chauke K. ↓, Williamson J. ↑,
46', Lofthouse K. ↓, Godwin-Malife U. ↑,
63', Berry-McNally J. ↓, Dobra A. ↑,
63', Donacien J. ↓, Grimes J. ↑,
63', Dickson W. ↓, Bonis L. ↑,
72', Delap F. ↓, Matthews D. ↑,
73', Lewis A. ↓, Gordon L. ↑,
79', 1 - 0, Bonis L. ⚽,
81', McKiernan J. J. ↓, Lay M. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chesterfield won 2.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Chesterfield may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Chesterfield is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Chesterfield won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 1.5:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Chesterfield won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:10. (average 1.8:2).
Last Results with these Odds
Burton Albion - the odds 3.06 are the expected chance of winning is 30.27%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.