Match Info

League Two - Round 11

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Prenton Park (Birkenhead) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Robinson J. (Nir)


	Tranmere Rovers		Barnet

	1	X	2
	2.85	3.50	2.25	Watch
	2.80	3.50	2.30
	2.90	3.45	2.30	Watch
	2.96	3.60	2.41
	3.32	3.7	2.01	Watch
	2.85	3.45	2.35
	2.89	3.49	2.29	Watch
	2.85	3.45	2.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.93 ↓ (3.27)	3.52 ↓ (3.72)	2.27 ↑ (1.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tranmere Rovers
32.1%

Draw
26.7%

Barnet
41.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

28.4%

25%

46.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.3%

24%

48.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tranmere Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Barnet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Barnet might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tranmere Rovers than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barnet than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Barnet could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	33.3%	33.3%

Tranmere Rovers - Barnet Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Tranmere will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Barnet will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Male H. (G) 2. Senior J. 5. Smith N. 30. Nevett G. 3. Slater J. 6. Vaulks W. (C) 11. Conlon T. 29. Jones D. 10. Ince T. 7. Whitaker C. 9. Ironside J.	13. Cox M. (G) 5. Senior A. 4. Collinge D. 25. Tavares N. 6. Williams Z. 22. Gallagher O. 14. Comley B. 7. Knowles T. (C) 8. Lakin C. 11. Kanu I. 20. Tshimanga K.
Substitutes
16. Faulkner B. 24. Kamara D. 1. McGee L. (G) 22. O'Connor L. 14. Scott O. 20. Veevers C. 44. Watson R.	17. Ajayi D. 3. Crichlow R. 36. Haralambous A. (G) 30. Kenlock M. 10. Ofoborh N. 23. Reeves J. 18. Smith K.
Coaches
Clarke D.	Brennan D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
20', Williams Z. 🟨,
22', 1 - 0, Vaulks W. ⚽, Whitaker C. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Williams Z. ↓, Crichlow R. ↑,
46', Knowles T. ↓, Ofoborh N. ↑,
51', Senior J. 🟨,
55', 1 - 1, Tshimanga K. ⚽,
65', Jones D. ↓, Watson R. ↑,
70', Kanu I. 🟨,
71', Vaulks W. 🟨,
75', Whitaker C. ↓, Kamara D. ↑,
75', Conlon T. ↓, Faulkner B. ↑,
77', Kanu I. ↓, Ajayi D. ↑,
84', Tavares N. ↓, Kenlock M. ↑,
87', 1 - 2, Tshimanga K. (Penalty Awarded),
90+2', Senior J. 🟨,
90+13', Crichlow R. ↓, Reeves J. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table host welcomes one of the top contenders in an exciting contest (ranked 13th and 2nd in the Promotion - League One).

Tranmere has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Barnet is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Barnet holding a narrow advantage.

Confirmed absences for Tranmere: Jennings C. (Knee Injury).

Confirmed absences for Barnet: Smith K. (Inactive).

Doubtful / questionable for Tranmere: Okoro Z. (Injury).

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Tranmere has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 0:3 (averaging 0:1.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Tranmere against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 0:2 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Barnet	12	7	4	1	27:17	10	25
13	Tranmere	13	3	7	3	16:16	0	16

Outrights of English League Two for now

Barnet: 17.04% Tranmere: 0.81%

Last Results with these Odds

Tranmere Rovers - the odds 3.27 are the expected chance of winning is 28.39%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tranmere Rovers
English League Two
10.10.26	Tranmere Rovers - Rochdale	1:1 ✺
03.10.26	Chesterfield - Tranmere Rovers	4:2 ✺
26.09.26	Tranmere Rovers - Walsall	1:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
22.09.26	Tranmere Rovers - Shrewsbury Town	1:0 ✺
English League Two
19.09.26	Exeter City - Tranmere Rovers	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 TLTWT
- Barnet
English League Two
10.10.26	Bristol Rovers - Barnet	1:3 ✺
English EFL Trophy
06.10.26	AFC Wimbledon - Barnet	0:1 penalties ✺
English League Two
19.09.26	Barnet - Fleetwood Town	3:1 ✺
12.09.26	Barnet - Accrington Stanley	2:1 ✺
05.09.26	Chesterfield - Barnet	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
27.01.26	Barnet - Tranmere Rovers	1:0
11.10.25	Tranmere Rovers - Barnet	0:2

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