Match Info

League Two - Round 13

Date: 24 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: The Broadfield Stadium (Crawley) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Sandoe L. (Eng)


	Crawley Town		Tranmere Rovers

	1	X	2
	2.65	3.20	2.50	Watch
	2.50	3.30	2.37
	2.65	3.25	2.38	Watch
	2.66	3.61	2.59
	2.59	3.37	2.59	Watch
	2.60	3.55	2.50
	2.71	3.22	2.57	Watch
	2.65	3.35	2.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.63 ↓ (2.86)	3.36 ↓ (3.49)	2.5 ↑ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Crawley Town
35.3%

Draw
27.6%

Tranmere Rovers
37.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

32.5%

26.6%

40.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.1%

26.1%

40.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Crawley Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Tranmere Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crawley Town than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tranmere Rovers than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Crawley Town - Tranmere Rovers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mannone V. (G) 2. Gordon K. 6. Farquharson P. 16. Russell J. 12. Richards L. 30. Jennings K. 20. Arthurs J. (C) 10. Duke-McKenna S. 27. Morgan D. 22. Adeyemo A. 9. Orsi-Dadomo D.	1. McGee L. (G) 2. Senior J. 22. O'Connor L. 16. Faulkner B. 30. Nevett G. 3. Slater J. 29. Jones D. 6. Vaulks W. (C) 11. Conlon T. 10. Ince T. 9. Ironside J.
Substitutes
11. Aderoju O. 4. Arganese-McDermott P. 17. Kamara O. 13. Michalski N. (G) 19. Pereira D. 28. Tinsdale N. 8. Watson L.	13. Boyce-Clarke C. (G) 24. Kamara D. 14. Scott O. 5. Smith N. 4. Turnbull J. 44. Watson R. 7. Whitaker C.
Coaches
Kazim-Richards C.	Clarke D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
32', Jennings K. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Jones D. ↓, Whitaker C. ↑,
52', 1 - 0, Morgan D. ⚽,
57', Conlon T. ↓, Kamara D. ↑,
60', 1 - 1, Vaulks W. ⚽, Ince T. (A),
67', Ince T. 🟨,
69', Orsi-Dadomo D. ↓, Aderoju O. ↑,
69', Adeyemo A. ↓, Pereira D. ↑,
76', Vaulks W. 🟨,
89', Duke-McKenna S. ↓, Tinsdale N. ↑,

Preview

Crucial home points are at stake for a lower-table team looking to climb out of danger (ranked 24th in the Relegation - National League and 13th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Crawley won 3.

Recent results have been tough for Crawley (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Tranmere has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 1 win).

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

Confirmed absences for Crawley: Odimayo A. (Inactive).

Confirmed absences for Tranmere: Jennings C. (Knee Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Tranmere: Okoro Z. (Injury).

In the last 17 head-to-head meetings, Crawley has recorded 7 wins, 1 draw, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 25:29 (averaging 1.5:1.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Crawley against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 16:13 goals (averaging 1.8:1.4 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Tranmere	13	3	7	3	16:16	0	16
24	Crawley	11	1	3	7	12:21	-9	6

Outrights of English League Two for now

Tranmere: 1.94%

Last Results with these Odds

Crawley Town - the odds 2.86 are the expected chance of winning is 32.47%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Crawley Town
English League Two
20.10.26	Crawley Town - Shrewsbury Town	2:3 ✺
17.10.26	Salford City - Crawley Town	2:1 ✺
10.10.26	Crawley Town - Chesterfield	2:2 ✺
English EFL Trophy
06.10.26	Crawley Town - Bromley	4:0 ✺
22.09.26	Milton Keynes Dons - Crawley Town	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LLTWL
- Tranmere Rovers
English League Two
20.10.26	Northampton Town - Tranmere Rovers	0:1 ✺
17.10.26	Tranmere Rovers - Barnet	1:2 ✺
10.10.26	Tranmere Rovers - Rochdale	1:1 ✺
03.10.26	Chesterfield - Tranmere Rovers	4:2 ✺
26.09.26	Tranmere Rovers - Walsall	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WLTLT

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
14.02.26	Tranmere Rovers - Crawley Town	2:0
23.08.25	Crawley Town - Tranmere Rovers	0:2
23.03.24	Tranmere Rovers - Crawley Town	1:3
16.09.23	Crawley Town - Tranmere Rovers	3:2
15.04.23	Crawley Town - Tranmere Rovers	2:1
28.02.23	Tranmere Rovers - Crawley Town	1:0
22.01.22	Crawley Town - Tranmere Rovers	0:1

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