Match Info

League Two - Round 5

Date: 23 August 2025, Saturday

Location: The Broadfield Stadium (Crawley)

Referee: Rollason G. (Eng)


	Crawley Town		Tranmere Rovers

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.2	2.45	Watch
	2.8	3.3	2.37
	2.88	3.2	2.42	Watch
	2.86	3.36	2.52
	2.58	3.13	2.72	Watch
	2.8	3.1	2.4
	2.86	3.34	2.43	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.79 ↑ (2.38)	3.23 ↑ (3.2)	2.47 ↓ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Crawley Town
33.4%

Draw
28.9%

Tranmere Rovers
37.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.4%

29.3%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Crawley Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Crawley Town's form might have worsened.

Tranmere Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tranmere Rovers's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	0%	77.8%

Crawley Town - Tranmere Rovers Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Crawley will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Tranmere will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tranmere: 50.6% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Crawley (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tranmere (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Crawley (1.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Crawley (2.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Crawley (votes: 3 - 60%). Tranmere (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Davies H. (G) 5. Barker C. 3. Conroy D. (C) 28. Flint J. 22. Adeyemo A. 27. Watson L. 17. Scott K. 18. Cashman D. 13. McKirdy H. 24. Dixon K. 9. Tshimanga K.	1. McGee L. (G) 22. O'Connor L. 5. Smith N. 3. Brough P. 2. Norman C. 6. Smallwood R. (C) 42. Kenneh N. 11. Patrick O. 23. Bristow E. 7. Whitaker C. 10. Davison J.
Substitutes
6. Anderson M. 33. Bajrami G. 10. Brown R. 14. Flower L. 20. Mukena J. 11. Roles J. 29. Showunmi T.	24. Blacker B. 25. Harris T. 18. Jennings C. 16. Lowe J. 13. Murphy J. (G) 17. Solomon S. 4. Turnbull J.
Coaches
Lindsey S.	Crosby A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
8', Scott K. 🟨,
10', Kenneh N. 🟨,
21', Whitaker C. 🟨,
45+1', Smallwood R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
57', 0 - 1, Smith N. ⚽, Patrick O. (A),
63', Davison J. ↓, Jennings C. ↑,
67', Brough P. 🟨,
73', Bristow E. ↓, Turnbull J. ↑,
73', Whitaker C. ↓, Harris T. ↑,
74', Kenneh N. ↓, Lowe J. ↑,
74', Watson L. ↓, Bajrami G. ↑,
74', Tshimanga K. ↓, Flower L. ↑,
79', Scott K. ↓, Roles J. ↑,
80', 0 - 2, Patrick O. ⚽,
84', Patrick O. ↓, Solomon S. ↑,
84', Adeyemo A. ↓, Showunmi T. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Crawley won 3.

Crawley is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Tranmere's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Crawley may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Tranmere has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Tranmere: Finley S. (Suspended) Williams J. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Crawley: Forster H. (Injury) Pereira D. (Injury)

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Crawley won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 25:25. (average 1.7:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Crawley won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:11. (average 2:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Crawley Town
English League Two
19.08.25	Crawley Town - Milton Keynes Dons	1:1 ✺
16.08.25	Crewe Alexandra - Crawley Town	1:0 ✺
English League Cup
12.08.25	Swansea City - Crawley Town	3:1 ✺
English League Two
09.08.25	Crawley Town - Newport County	1:2 ✺
02.08.25	Grimsby Town - Crawley Town	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 TLLLL
- Tranmere Rovers
English League Cup
19.08.25	Tranmere Rovers - Burton Albion	1:2 penalties ✺
English League Two
16.08.25	Tranmere Rovers - Gillingham	1:1 ✺
09.08.25	Tranmere Rovers - Shrewsbury Town	4:0 ✺
02.08.25	Colchester United - Tranmere Rovers	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
26.07.25	Tranmere Rovers - Wigan Athletic	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LTWTL

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
23.03.24	Tranmere Rovers - Crawley Town	1:3
16.09.23	Crawley Town - Tranmere Rovers	3:2
15.04.23	Crawley Town - Tranmere Rovers	2:1
28.02.23	Tranmere Rovers - Crawley Town	1:0
22.01.22	Crawley Town - Tranmere Rovers	0:1
English FA Cup
06.11.21	Crawley Town - Tranmere Rovers	0:1
English League Two
02.10.21	Tranmere Rovers - Crawley Town	2:1

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