Match Info

League Two - Round 8

Date: 26 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Prenton Park (Birkenhead)

Referee: Parkinson S. (Eng)


	Tranmere Rovers		Walsall

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.70	2.82
	2.30	3.30	2.95
	2.40	3.25	2.63
	2.31	3.44	3.19
	2.47	3.38	2.72	Watch
	2.20	3.40	3.15
	2.21	3.71	2.89	Watch
	2.21	3.40	3.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↓ (2.51)	3.45 ↑ (3.09)	2.92 ↑ (2.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tranmere Rovers
40.9%

Draw
27.1%

Walsall
32%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.6%

29.8%

33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.4%

31.3%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tranmere Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Walsall has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tranmere Rovers than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

The ML Model estimate for Walsall aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

Tranmere Rovers - Walsall Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Tranmere will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Male H. (G) 2. Senior J. 16. Faulkner B. 5. Smith N. 3. Slater J. 6. Vaulks W. (C) 11. Conlon T. 17. Okoro Z. 10. Ince T. 7. Whitaker C. 9. Ironside J.	1. Ward J. (G) 22. Ahui E. 25. Skura D. 4. Connolly J. (C) 3. Hancock M. 15. Moore I. 6. Sprangler S. 10. Simper L. 9. Dallas A. 11. Smith R. 19. Pressley A.
Substitutes
13. Boyce-Clarke C. (G) 23. Brough P. 15. Davies J. 8. Finley S. 29. Jones D. 24. Kamara D. 22. O'Connor L.	37. Adomah A. 53. Etheridge W. 29. Furlong J. 26. Leak R. 57. Sjordesma R. 7. Sodje T. 31. Wooster T. (G)
Coaches
Clarke D.	Grant L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
18', Sprangler S. 🟨,
35', Connolly J. 🟨,
35', Ironside J. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
58', Sprangler S. ↓, Sodje T. ↑,
61', Ironside J. ↓, Jones D. ↑,
71', Okoro Z. ↓, Davies J. ↑,
73', 1 - 0, Faulkner B. ⚽, Vaulks W. (A),
76', Ahui E. ↓, Leak R. ↑,
77', Dallas A. ↓, Adomah A. ↑,
82', Moore I. 🟨,
87', Simper L. ↓, Etheridge W. ↑,
89', Whitaker C. ↓, O'Connor L. ↑,
89', Conlon T. ↓, Finley S. ↑,
90+1', 1 - 1, Smith R. ⚽, Etheridge W. (A),

Preview

An intriguing matchup between a mid-ranked team and a top contender (ranked 10th and 2nd in the Promotion ~ League One).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tranmere won 1.

Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

Confirmed absences for Tranmere: Jennings C. (Knee Injury).

Confirmed absences for Walsall: Pattison A. (Inactive) Williams H. (Achilles Tendon Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Walsall: Browne R. (Inactive).

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Tranmere has recorded 3 wins, 4 draws, and 13 losses, with a goal aggregate of 15:34 (averaging 0.8:1.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Tranmere against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses, with 10:17 goals (averaging 0.9:1.5 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Walsall	9	3	6	0	12:6	6	15
13	Tranmere	10	2	6	2	13:13	0	12

Last Results with these Odds

Tranmere Rovers - the odds 2.51 are the expected chance of winning is 36.63%, but this team recently wins 31% of matches with these odds.

Walsall - the odds 2.74 are the expected chance of winning is 33.59%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tranmere Rovers
English EFL Trophy
22.09.26	Tranmere Rovers - Shrewsbury Town	1:0 ✺
English League Two
19.09.26	Exeter City - Tranmere Rovers	0:0 ✺
12.09.26	Gillingham - Tranmere Rovers	2:0 ✺
05.09.26	Tranmere Rovers - Oldham Athletic	2:0 ✺
01.09.26	Tranmere Rovers - Rotherham United	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WTLWT
- Walsall FC
English EFL Trophy
22.09.26	Walsall - Stevenage Borough	1:6 ✺
English League Two
19.09.26	Walsall - Port Vale	2:0 ✺
12.09.26	Walsall - Rochdale	0:0 ✺
05.09.26	Exeter City - Walsall	0:0 ✺
01.09.26	Crewe Alexandra - Walsall	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LWTTT

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
17.01.26	Tranmere Rovers - Walsall	1:3
20.09.25	Walsall - Tranmere Rovers	4:2
11.01.25	Walsall - Tranmere Rovers	5:1
24.08.24	Tranmere Rovers - Walsall	1:0
06.04.24	Tranmere Rovers - Walsall	1:3
16.12.23	Walsall - Tranmere Rovers	1:0
14.01.23	Tranmere Rovers - Walsall	1:1

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