Match Info

League Two - Round 6

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Priestfield Stadium (Gillingham)

Referee: Young A. (Eng)


	Gillingham		Tranmere Rovers

	1	X	2
	2.57	3.10	2.65	Watch
	2.60	3.25	2.60
	2.40	3.20	2.90	Watch
	2.69	3.35	2.73
	2.49	3.34	2.71	Watch
	2.60	3.30	2.65
	2.51	3.11	2.86	Watch
	2.55	3.20	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 ↓ (2.57)	3.23 ↓ (3.35)	2.72 ↑ (2.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gillingham
36.7%

Draw
28.9%

Tranmere Rovers
34.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.1%

27.7%

36.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.8%

28.2%

35.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gillingham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Tranmere Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gillingham than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tranmere Rovers than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	75%	0%

Gillingham - Tranmere Rovers Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Gillingham will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).

New Consensus by Tipsters:

1X2 - Tie (3.40) (votes: 89%) ⭐ Best Value.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Wright O. (G) 5. Smith A. 19. Beckles O. (C) 26. Dobbs L. 22. Freeman N. 14. McKenzie R. 34. King E. 3. McManus C. 16. Brophy J. 24. Waldock H. 10. Hale R.	1. McGee L. (G) 2. Senior J. 16. Faulkner B. 5. Smith N. 3. Slater J. 6. Vaulks W. (C) 8. Finley S. 29. Jones D. 10. Ince T. 7. Whitaker C. 9. Ironside J.
Substitutes
30. Booth S. 32. Dayal L. 13. Holtam T. (G) 18. Kendall S. 27. Luxton M. 12. McCleary G. 11. Sillah L.	11. Conlon T. 15. Davies J. 24. Kamara D. 12. Male H. (G) 30. Nevett G. 22. O'Connor L. 17. Okoro Z.
Coaches
Ainsworth G.	Clarke D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
26', McKenzie R. 🟨,
31', Smith N. 🟨,
35', King E. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
55', Waldock H. ↓, McCleary G. ↑,
58', Jones D. ↓, Davies J. ↑,
68', 1 - 0, Dobbs L. ⚽, Hale R. (A),
70', Whitaker C. ↓, Okoro Z. ↑,
70', Finley S. ↓, Conlon T. ↑,
76', Clarke D. 🟨,
79', Smith N. ↓, Nevett G. ↑,
79', Slater J. ↓, Kamara D. ↑,
80', 2 - 0, Hale R. ⚽, McCleary G. (A),
80', Dobbs L. ↓, Daley J. ↑,
82', Hale R. ↓, Sillah L. ↑,
86', McManus C. 🟨,
90', Vaulks W. 🟨,
90+4', McKenzie R. ↓, Luxton M. ↑,
90+4', McManus C. ↓, Kendall S. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gillingham won 2.

Gillingham has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Tranmere is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Gillingham: Coleman E. (Inactive) Dack B. (Inactive) Little A. (Inactive) Maclorg L. (Inactive) Tabares S. (Inactive)

There will not play in Tranmere: Jennings C. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Gillingham: Albarus Z. (Inactive) Gordon L. (Inactive) Harris K. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Tranmere: Male H. (Injury)

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Gillingham won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:13. (average 1.5:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Gillingham won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:2. (average 2:0.4).

Outrights of English League Two for now

Gillingham: 2% Tranmere: 0.81%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Gillingham	10	4	4	2	15:10	5	16
13	Tranmere	10	2	6	2	13:13	0	12

Last Results with these Odds

Gillingham - the odds 2.57 are the expected chance of winning is 36.14%, but this team recently wins 18% of matches with these odds.

Tranmere Rovers - the odds 2.57 are the expected chance of winning is 36.14%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gillingham FC
English League Two
05.09.26	Rochdale - Gillingham	1:4 ✺
01.09.26	Chesterfield - Gillingham	1:1 ✺
29.08.26	Gillingham - Northampton Town	1:1 ✺
22.08.26	Fleetwood Town - Gillingham	0:0 ✺
15.08.26	Gillingham - Walsall	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 WTTTL
- Tranmere Rovers
English League Two
05.09.26	Tranmere Rovers - Oldham Athletic	2:0 ✺
01.09.26	Tranmere Rovers - Rotherham United	2:2 ✺
29.08.26	Newport County - Tranmere Rovers	2:2 ✺
22.08.26	Port Vale - Tranmere Rovers	1:1 ✺
15.08.26	Tranmere Rovers - Shrewsbury Town	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 WTTTW

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
07.02.26	Gillingham - Tranmere Rovers	2:1
16.08.25	Tranmere Rovers - Gillingham	1:1
25.01.25	Tranmere Rovers - Gillingham	1:1
14.09.24	Gillingham - Tranmere Rovers	3:0
09.03.24	Gillingham - Tranmere Rovers	1:1
25.11.23	Tranmere Rovers - Gillingham	3:1
11.03.23	Gillingham - Tranmere Rovers	2:0

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