The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Exeter City 41%
Draw 28.2%
Tranmere Rovers 30.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.8%
28%
30.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.4%
28.4%
29.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Exeter City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
Tranmere Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Exeter City than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tranmere Rovers than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
Exeter City - Tranmere Rovers Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Bycroft J. (G) 40. James E. 5. Fitzwater J. (C) 3. Woodhouse L. 2. Samuel L. 31. Doyle-Hayes J. 16. Cummins C. 24. Harper V. 12. Cole R. 10. Gordon J. 32. Rose D.
12. Male H. (G) 2. Senior J. 5. Smith N. 30. Nevett G. 3. Slater J. 6. Vaulks W. (C) 11. Conlon T. 15. Davies J. 10. Ince T. 7. Whitaker C. 29. Jones D.
Substitutes
20. Birch G. 7. Edwards G. 18. Oakes L. 8. Perry T. 22. Phillips F. (G) 23. Sutherland E. 6. Taylor J.
13. Boyce-Clarke C. (G) 8. Finley S. 9. Ironside J. 24. Kamara D. 22. O'Connor L. 17. Okoro Z. 20. Veevers C.
Coaches
Taylor M.
Clarke D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
30', Smith N. 🟨,
45', Gordon J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
52', James E. 🟨,
60', Samuel L. ↓, Edwards G. ↑,
62', Davies J. ↓, Okoro Z. ↑,
65', Jones D. 🟨,
67', Rose D. ↓, Birch G. ↑,
71', Conlon T. ↓, Finley S. ↑,
71', Jones D. ↓, Ironside J. ↑,
75', Slater J. 🟨,
86', Doyle-Hayes J. ↓, Perry T. ↑,
87', Whitaker C. ↓, Veevers C. ↑,
Preview
Crucial home points are at stake for a lower-table team looking to climb out of danger (ranked 20th and 10th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Exeter won 1.
Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.
Tranmere could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Exeter holding a narrow advantage.
Confirmed absences for Exeter: Cox S.
(Injury)
Turns E.
(Inactive).
Confirmed absences for Tranmere: Jennings C.
(Knee Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Exeter: Kite H.
(Inactive)
Oluwabori A.
(Inactive).
In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Exeter has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 9:11 (averaging 1:1.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Exeter against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 6:4 goals (averaging 1.5:1 per game).
Outrights of English League Two for now
Tranmere: 1.86% Exeter: 1.64%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
12
Tranmere
9
2
5
2
12:12
0
11
20
Exeter
9
2
3
4
5:6
-1
9
Last Results with these Odds
Tranmere Rovers - the odds 3.06 are the expected chance of winning is 30.19%, but this team recently wins 23% of matches with these odds.
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Bycroft J. (G) 
James E. 
Doyle-Hayes J. 
Harper V. 
Sutherland E. 
Boyce-Clarke C. (G) 
Okoro Z. 
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