The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Walsall 36.4%
Draw 28.4%
Port Vale 35.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.8%
28%
32.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41%
27.2%
31.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Walsall has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
Port Vale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Walsall than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Port Vale than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
Walsall - Port Vale Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Ward J. (G) 22. Ahui E. 25. Skura D. 4. Connolly J. (C) 3. Hancock M. 15. Moore I. 6. Sprangler S. 17. Clarke C. 14. Evans A. 11. Smith R. 7. Sodje T.
20. Marosi M. (G) 2. Kyle John 22. Montsma L. 5. Hall C. 6. Lawrence-Gabriel J. 10. Dempsey K. 7. Byers G. 8. Garrity B. (C) 3. Headley J. 19. Waine B. 14. Lynch O.
Substitutes
37. Adomah A. 8. Crew C. 9. Dallas A. 29. Furlong J. 26. Leak R. 10. Simper L. 31. Wooster T. (G)
33. Hall G. 11. Hernandez O. 25. Humphreys C. 4. Moon J. 31. Moseley K. (G) 38. Walters R. 36. Watters M.
Coaches
Grant L.
Brady J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
17', Evans A. ↓, Simper L. ↑,
27', Sprangler S. 🟨,
40', Ahui E. 🟨,
45+5', 1 - 0, Connolly J. ⚽, Clarke C. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Lynch O. ↓, Watters M. ↑,
50', Connolly J. 🟨,
51', Dempsey K. 🟨,
61', Byers G. ↓, Hernandez O. ↑,
61', Waine B. ↓, Hall G. ↑,
61', Dempsey K. ↓, Walters R. ↑,
70', Sodje T. ↓, Dallas A. ↑,
73', Kyle John ↓, Moon J. ↑,
84', Garrity B. 🟨,
85', Clarke C. ↓, Adomah A. ↑,
85', Smith R. ↓, Crew C. ↑,
89', 2 - 0, Dallas A. ⚽, Ahui E. (A),
90+3', Moon J. 🟨,
Preview
A clear contrast in standings as an upper-tier team meets a relegation-threatened side (ranked 5th in the Promotion ~ League Two PlayoffsSemi~finals) and 22nd).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Walsall won 4.
Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
Confirmed absences for Walsall: Pattison A.
(Inactive)
Straw S.
(Inactive)
Williams H.
(Achilles Tendon Injury).
Confirmed absences for Port Vale: Moon J.
(Inactive)
Watters M.
(Inactive).
Doubtful / questionable for Walsall: Browne R.
(Inactive)
Dixon R.
(Inactive).
Doubtful / questionable for Port Vale: Faal M.
(Inactive).
In the last 19 head-to-head meetings, Walsall has recorded 10 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 30:21 (averaging 1.6:1.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Walsall against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 1 draw, and 6 losses, with 15:17 goals (averaging 1.5:1.7 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
6
Walsall
9
3
6
0
12:6
6
15
22
Port Vale
8
2
2
4
4:9
-5
8
Last Results with these Odds
Walsall - the odds 2.33 are the expected chance of winning is 39.83%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.
Port Vale - the odds 2.88 are the expected chance of winning is 32.22%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.
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Ward J. (G) 
Connolly J. (C) 
Sprangler S. 
Clarke C. 
Marosi M. (G) 
Montsma L. 
Byers G. 
Waine B. 
Adomah A. 
Furlong J. 
Hernandez O. 
Brady J. 
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