Match Info

Division 1 - Round 26

Date: 3 August 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: UCD Bowl (Dublin) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Usa	12:00	SportsEngine Play
International	16:00	LOI TV


	University College Dublin		Treaty United

	1	X	2
	1.60	3.75	4.40
	1.68	3.6	4.55
	1.67	4	5.46
	1.63	3.95	4.54	Watch
	1.63	3.7	5.4
	1.64	3.86	4.96
	1.66	3.5	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↑ (1.61)	3.77 ↓ (3.83)	4.8 ↑ (4.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

University College Dublin
56.2%

Draw
24.5%

Treaty United
19.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

56.5%

23.7%

19.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.2%

24.8%

18.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

University College Dublin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Treaty United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for University College Dublin than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Treaty United than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

University College Dublin - Treaty United Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. UCD will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Treaty United will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. UCD (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - UCD (2.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. UCD (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kavanagh D. (G) 2. Murphy S. 3. Cailloce L. 5. Lennox C. 6. Wells A. (C) 21. Ogbonna G. 13. Goad J. 40. Smith H. 8. Dignam L. 7. McCullagh M. 11. Alonge M.	1. Brady J. (C) 44. Cantwell K. 27. Lynch R. 9. Curtis C. 3. Lynch B. 29. Foley K. 11. Byrne M. 6. Healy S. 10. Lawlor R. 30. Murphy M. 37. Kareem D.
Substitutes
15. Akinrintayo C. 10. Behan C. 26. Costello D. 14. Curtis H. 16. Douglas N. (G) 25. Lavin G. 31. Mohan S. 24. Norval S. 27. Sheeran E.	19. Cunningham B. 15. Feeney B. 21. Fitzpatrick K. (G) 31. Manning R. 20. Nwankwo D. 18. Oyenuga J. 5. Regan B. 36. Whelan C. 16. Yoro E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
29', Cantwell K. 🟨,
44', Murphy S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Kareem D. ↓, Feeney B. ↑,
48', 1 - 0, McCullagh M. ⚽,
59', Byrne M. ↓, Yoro E. ↑,
59', Lawlor R. ↓, Whelan C. ↑,
59', Healy S. ↓, Oyenuga J. ↑,
66', 1 - 1, Curtis C. ⚽,
70', Alonge M. ↓, Akinrintayo C. ↑,
70', Ogbonna G. ↓, Behan C. ↑,
78', 1 - 2, Kavanagh D. (Own goal),
78', Goad J. ↓, Curtis H. ↑,
84', Curtis C. ↓, Nwankwo D. ↑,
87', McCullagh M. ↓, Lavin G. ↑,
87', Cailloce L. ↓, Norval S. ↑,
90+3', Murphy M. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, UCD won 3.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Recently, UCD has had a series of away games.

Recently, Treaty United has had a series of home games.

In this match, UCD is seen as the favorite.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, UCD won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 24:22. (average 1.4:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, UCD won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 1.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- University College Dublin
Irish Division 1
31.07.26	Athlone Town - University College Dublin	0:0 ✺
24.07.26	University College Dublin - Cork City	5:2 ✺
Irish FAI Cup
17.07.26	Treaty United - University College Dublin	1:2 ✺
Irish Division 1
10.07.26	Bray Wanderers - University College Dublin	6:0 ✺
04.07.26	Longford Town - University College Dublin	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TWWLL
- Treaty United
Irish Division 1
31.07.26	Treaty United - Longford Town	0:1 ✺
24.07.26	Treaty United - Athlone Town	2:1 ✺
Irish FAI Cup
17.07.26	Treaty United - University College Dublin	1:2 ✺
Irish Division 1
10.07.26	Finn Harps - Treaty United	0:1 ✺
03.07.26	Treaty United - Kerry	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Irish FAI Cup
17.07.26	Treaty United - University College Dublin	1:2
Irish Division 1
24.04.26	Treaty United - University College Dublin	0:3
27.02.26	University College Dublin - Treaty United	2:0
05.09.25	Treaty United - University College Dublin	1:0
04.07.25	University College Dublin - Treaty United	1:1
16.05.25	Treaty United - University College Dublin	4:0
21.03.25	University College Dublin - Treaty United	0:0

University College Dublin - Treaty United