Match Info

Division 1 - Round 30

Date: 4 September 2026, Friday

Location: Markets Field (Limerick)

Where to Watch on TV:


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World	LOI TV


	Treaty United		Wexford

	1	X	2
	2.50	3.20	2.45
	2.48	3.25	2.45
	2.58	3.52	2.72
	2.54	3.33	2.54	Watch
	2.55	3.25	2.70
	2.51	3.46	2.62
	2.47	3.15	2.50
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.52 ↓ (2.53)	3.31 ↑ (3.3)	2.57 (2.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Treaty United
36.5%

Draw
27.8%

Wexford
35.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.3%

27.9%

35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35%

26.9%

37.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Treaty United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

The chances for Wexford have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Treaty United than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wexford than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Treaty United - Wexford Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Brady J. (G) 3. Lynch B. 27. Lynch R. 44. Cantwell K. 31. Manning R. 8. Conroy C. 29. Foley K. 11. Byrne M. 37. Kareem D. 30. Murphy M. 36. Whelan C.	20. Martin P. (G) 6. Bartley R. 26. Dignam K. 10. Harnett K. 8. Abada Z. 19. Hodgins G. 15. Ritchie R. 11. Wynne J. 33. Doyle J. 7. Rowe M. 14. Doyle L.
Substitutes
19. Cunningham B. 15. Feeney B. 21. Fitzpatrick K. (G) 6. Healy S. 28. Jones M. 18. Oyenuga J. 5. Regan B. 23. Rochford J. 16. Yoro E.	37. Byrne K. 34. Dobbyn A. 1. Moody A. (G) 32. Mullan C. 18. Norval A. 9. O'Sullivan Z. 17. Tetteh G. 22. Vance B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
23', Foley K. 🟨,
30', 0 - 1, Rowe M. (Penalty Awarded),
30', Lynch R. ↓, Regan B. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
48', 🟨,
64', Byrne M. ↓, Feeney B. ↑,
64', Whelan C. ↓, Oyenuga J. ↑,
64', Kareem D. ↓, Cunningham B. ↑,
69', Rowe M. 🟨,
71', Rowe M. ↓, Tetteh G. ↑,
78', Hodgins G. ↓, O'Sullivan Z. ↑,
80', Conroy C. ↓, Yoro E. ↑,
81', O'Sullivan Z. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Treaty United won 2.

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Treaty United won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 23:28. (average 1.2:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Treaty United won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 0.9:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Wexford	34	11	8	15	40:51	-11	41
9	Treaty United	34	9	9	16	33:52	-19	36

Last Results with these Odds

Treaty United - the odds 2.53 are the expected chance of winning is 36.35%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Treaty United
Irish Division 1
28.08.26	Kerry - Treaty United	3:1 ✺
21.08.26	Treaty United - Cork City	2:2 ✺
07.08.26	Cobh Ramblers - Treaty United	2:0 ✺
03.08.26	University College Dublin - Treaty United	1:2 ✺
31.07.26	Treaty United - Longford Town	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 LTLWL
- Wexford FC
Irish Division 1
28.08.26	Cork City - Wexford	2:0 ✺
21.08.26	Wexford - Athlone Town	0:2 ✺
07.08.26	University College Dublin - Wexford	4:1 ✺
03.08.26	Wexford - Bray Wanderers	2:1 ✺
31.07.26	Cobh Ramblers - Wexford	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Irish Division 1
26.06.26	Wexford - Treaty United	0:0
04.05.26	Treaty United - Wexford	1:0
27.03.26	Wexford - Treaty United	3:2
17.10.25	Wexford - Treaty United	0:2
23.06.25	Treaty United - Wexford	0:0
21.04.25	Wexford - Treaty United	2:0
14.03.25	Treaty United - Wexford	0:1

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