Match Info

Date: 1 April 2024, Monday


	Trefelin		Briton Ferry Llansawel

	1	X	2
	7.5	5.5	1.28
	6.55	5.69	1.26
	6.55	5.69	1.26
	7.8	5.7	1.26
	7	5.6	1.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.08 ↑ (6.17)	5.64 ↑ (5.25)	1.27 ↓ (1.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Trefelin
12.7%

Draw
16%

Briton Ferry Llansawel
71.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.7%

17.3%

67.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.1%

16.5%

71%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Trefelin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Briton Ferry Llansawel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trefelin than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Briton Ferry Llansawel than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, Hurford C. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
52', 0 - 2, Bowen L. (Pen),
73', 0 - 3, Walters T. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 9 and 2).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Trefelin won 0.

Recent matches Trefelin is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Briton Ferry in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Briton Ferry could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Briton Ferry is certain favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Trefelin won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Trefelin won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Trefelin BGC
Welsh Cymru South
29.03.24	Trefelin - Goytre United	2:2 ✺
23.03.24	Abertillery Bluebirds - Trefelin	2:5 ✺
16.03.24	Pontardawe Town - Trefelin	0:1 ✺
08.03.24	Trefelin - Carmarthen Town	1:1 ✺
02.03.24	Llantwit Major - Trefelin	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 TWWTL
- Briton Ferry Llansawel
Welsh Cymru South
27.03.24	Briton Ferry Llansawel - Taffs Well AFC	1:0 ✺
23.03.24	Cwmbran Celtic - Briton Ferry Llansawel	2:4 ✺
19.03.24	Briton Ferry Llansawel - Afan Lido	2:1 ✺
15.03.24	Briton Ferry Llansawel - Abertillery Bluebirds	2:1 ✺
08.03.24	Caerau Ely - Briton Ferry Llansawel	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru South
08.08.23	Briton Ferry Llansawel - Trefelin	5:0
06.01.23	Briton Ferry Llansawel - Trefelin	2:0
29.10.22	Trefelin - Briton Ferry Llansawel	1:4
29.01.22	Trefelin - Briton Ferry Llansawel	2:2
10.09.21	Briton Ferry Llansawel - Trefelin	3:1
Welsh FA Cup
03.09.21	Briton Ferry Llansawel - Trefelin	0:3

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