Match Info

WALES: CYMRU SOUTH - ROUND 26

Date: 8 March 2024, Friday


	Caerau Ely		Briton Ferry Llansawel

	1	X	2
	4.5	4.5	1.52
	4.33	4.45	1.52
	4.33	4.45	1.52
	4.78	4.55	1.5
	4.5	4.6	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.49 ↓ (4.64)	4.51 ↑ (4.5)	1.51 (1.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Caerau Ely
20.1%

Draw
20%

Briton Ferry Llansawel
59.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.6%

20.2%

60.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.3%

18.6%

55.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caerau Ely has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Briton Ferry Llansawel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caerau Ely than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Briton Ferry Llansawel than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 8 and 2).

Caerau is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Briton Ferry is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Briton Ferry could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Briton Ferry is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Caerau won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Caerau Ely
Welsh Cymru South
27.02.24	Caerau Ely - Taffs Well AFC	1:0 ✺
10.02.24	Carmarthen Town - Caerau Ely	1:1 ✺
02.02.24	Caerau Ely - Llantwit Major	3:2 ✺
27.01.24	Pontardawe Town - Caerau Ely	3:6 ✺
20.01.24	Baglan Dragons - Caerau Ely	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 WTWWL
- Briton Ferry Llansawel
Welsh Cymru South
05.03.24	Goytre United - Briton Ferry Llansawel	2:3 ✺
24.02.24	Ammanford - Briton Ferry Llansawel	2:1 ✺
Welsh FA Cup
16.02.24	Briton Ferry Llansawel - The New Saints	1:5 ✺
Welsh Cymru South
09.02.24	Briton Ferry Llansawel - Cambrian United	3:4 ✺
02.02.24	Abergavenny Town - Briton Ferry Llansawel	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru South
28.08.23	Briton Ferry Llansawel - Caerau Ely	5:3
06.12.19	Briton Ferry Llansawel - Caerau Ely	3:0

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