Match Info

WALES: CYMRU SOUTH - ROUND 25

Date: 24 February 2023, Friday


	Swansea University		Abergavenny Town

	1	X	2
	1.95	4.15	2.79
	2.11	3.74	2.9
	2.12	3.85	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↑ (1.7)	3.91 ↓ (4.08)	2.78 ↓ (3.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Swansea University
44.1%

Draw
23.2%

Abergavenny Town
32.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.8%

22%

25.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.8%

22%

25.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Swansea University has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Swansea University's form might have worsened.

Abergavenny Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Abergavenny Town's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swansea University than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Swansea University, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Abergavenny Town than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Abergavenny Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 11).

Swansea University is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Abergavenny Town is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Swansea University will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Swansea University won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Swansea University FC
Welsh Cymru South
18.02.23	Ynyshir Albions - Swansea University	2:1 ✺
10.02.23	Swansea University - Llantwit Major	0:1 ✺
27.01.23	Swansea University - Ammanford	2:1 ✺
07.01.23	Barry Town United - Swansea University	5:0 ✺
02.01.23	Swansea University - Pontardawe Town	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLWLL
- Abergavenny Town
Welsh Cymru South
17.02.23	Abergavenny Town - Taffs Well AFC	1:0 ✺
11.02.23	Cambrian United - Abergavenny Town	1:3 ✺
03.02.23	Abergavenny Town - Barry Town United	0:1 ✺
27.01.23	Trefelin - Abergavenny Town	1:3 ✺
07.01.23	Afan Lido - Abergavenny Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 40.9 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru South
02.08.22	Abergavenny Town - Swansea University	2:3

Swansea University - Abergavenny Town: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide