Match Info

Cymru South - Round 20

Date: 23 January 2026, Friday


	Ammanford		Trefelin

	1	X	2
	2.52	3.15	2.52
	2.54	3.28	2.62
	2.51	3.46	2.61	Watch
	2.5	3	2.5
	2.46	3.2	2.54
	2.5	3.14	2.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↑ (2.5)	3.21 ↓ (3.6)	2.56 ↑ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ammanford
36.2%

Draw
28.3%

Trefelin
35.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

25%

39.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ammanford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Trefelin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	100%	0%

Ammanford - Trefelin Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS, 2nd Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
15', 0 - 1, Brock T. ⚽,
21', Sauane B. 🟥,
22', 0 - 2, Bowen L. (Penalty Awarded),
44', 0 - 3, Piper R. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
62', 0 - 4, Davies J. ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Cymru Premier and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Cymru Premier).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ammanford won 2.

Trefelin is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Ammanford may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Ammanford won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 20:25. (average 1.7:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Ammanford won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:13. (average 1.6:2.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ammanford AFC
Welsh Cymru South
09.01.26	Pontypridd United - Ammanford	0:3 ✺
03.01.26	Ammanford - Ynyshir Albions	2:0 ✺
26.12.25	Carmarthen Town - Ammanford	0:1 ✺
28.11.25	Baglan Dragons - Ammanford	0:3 ✺
14.11.25	Cambrian United - Ammanford	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 WWWWT
- Trefelin BGC
Welsh Cymru South
16.01.26	Caerau Ely - Trefelin	1:2 ✺
09.01.26	Trefelin - Trethomas Bluebirds	3:1 ✺
30.12.25	Afan Lido - Trefelin	0:2 ✺
26.12.25	Trefelin - Caerau Ely	3:0 ✺
Welsh FA Cup
29.11.25	Trefelin - Cardiff Draconians	4:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.9 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru South
12.09.25	Trefelin - Ammanford	2:0
21.03.25	Ammanford - Trefelin	1:2
22.11.24	Trefelin - Ammanford	0:1
27.02.24	Trefelin - Ammanford	1:2
15.12.23	Ammanford - Trefelin	1:1
Welsh FA Cup
13.10.23	Trefelin - Ammanford	2:3 penalties
Welsh League Cup
05.08.23	Trefelin - Ammanford	2:3 penalties

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