Match Info

Cymru South - Round 23

Date: 20 February 2026, Friday


	Trefelin		Ynyshir Albions

	1	X	2
	1.17	6.1	11
	1.15	7.32	10.3
	1.16	7.48	13.48	Watch
	1.17	6	11
	1.14	6.8	11.5
	1.12	6.66	14
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.15 ↑ (1.14)	6.73 ↑ (6.36)	11.88 ↓ (12.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Trefelin
78.9%

Draw
13.5%

Ynyshir Albions
7.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

78.9%

14.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Trefelin have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Ynyshir Albions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Trefelin - Ynyshir Albions Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 6 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
17', Thomas K. 🟥,
21', 1 - 0, Bowen L. ⚽,
31', 2 - 0, Brock T. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
73', Saunders C. 🟥,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Cymru Premier and 14).

Trefelin is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Ynyshir Albions may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Trefelin is the obvious favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Trefelin won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:5. (average 2.7:1.7).

Including home match between the teams, Trefelin won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Ynyshir Albions	8	3	4	1	9:7	2	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Trefelin BGC
Welsh Cymru South
17.02.26	Trefelin - Baglan Dragons	3:0 ✺
13.02.26	Carmarthen Town - Trefelin	0:2 ✺
23.01.26	Ammanford - Trefelin	0:4 ✺
16.01.26	Caerau Ely - Trefelin	1:2 ✺
09.01.26	Trefelin - Trethomas Bluebirds	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WWWWW
- Ynyshir Albions
Welsh Cymru South
14.02.26	Ynyshir Albions - Pontypridd United	1:3 ✺
24.01.26	Ynyshir Albions - Baglan Dragons	0:0 ✺
03.01.26	Ammanford - Ynyshir Albions	2:0 ✺
26.12.25	Ynyshir Albions - Cambrian United	1:3 ✺
16.12.25	Afan Lido - Ynyshir Albions	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru South
27.09.25	Ynyshir Albions - Trefelin	0:5
26.11.22	Ynyshir Albions - Trefelin	2:3
29.08.22	Trefelin - Ynyshir Albions	0:3

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