Match Info

Cymru South - Round 7

Date: 5 September 2026, Saturday


	Ynyshir Albions		Pontypridd United

	1	X	2
	2.85	3.55	2.02
	2.97	3.9	2.08	Watch
	2.97	3.68	2.03
	2.85	3.60	2.03
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.91 ↓ (2.93)	3.68 ↓ (3.8)	2.04 ↓ (2.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ynyshir Albions
31.1%

Draw
24.6%

Pontypridd United
44.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.3%

24.1%

44.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.2%

24%

44.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ynyshir Albions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Pontypridd United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ynyshir Albions than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pontypridd United than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Ynyshir Albions - Pontypridd United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 and 2).

Ynyshir Albions has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Pontypridd is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Pontypridd may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Ynyshir Albions has had a series of away games.

Pontypridd might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Ynyshir Albions won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 2:2.5).

Including home match between the teams, Ynyshir Albions won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Pontypridd	9	6	1	2	23:16	7	19
7	Ynyshir Albions	8	3	4	1	9:7	2	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ynyshir Albions
Welsh Cymru South
31.08.26	Afan Lido - Ynyshir Albions	0:0 ✺
28.08.26	Newport City - Ynyshir Albions	0:1 ✺
22.08.26	Caerphilly Athletic - Ynyshir Albions	2:1 ✺
07.08.26	Caerau Ely - Ynyshir Albions	1:1 ✺
01.08.26	Ynyshir Albions - Cardiff Draconians	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.3 TWLTW
- Pontypridd United
Welsh Cymru South
28.08.26	Pure Swansea - Pontypridd United	4:4 ✺
21.08.26	Pontypridd United - Trethomas Bluebirds	2:1 ✺
15.08.26	Cardiff Draconians - Pontypridd United	1:4 ✺
07.08.26	Pontypridd United - Pontardawe Town	3:2 ✺
01.08.26	Treowen Stars - Pontypridd United	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru South
14.02.26	Ynyshir Albions - Pontypridd United	1:3
08.08.25	Pontypridd United - Ynyshir Albions	2:3

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