Match Info

Serie C - Group A - Round 27

Date: 15 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadio Briamasco (Trento)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 254


	Trento		Pro Patria

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.47	4.15	5.9	Watch
	1.44	4.38	6.95
	1.43	4.29	6.4	Watch
	1.44	3.8	6
	1.4	4.05	7.11	Watch
	1.44	4.2	6.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↑ (1.41)	4.15 ↑ (4.07)	6.5 ↓ (7.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Trento
63.8%

Draw
22.1%

Pro Patria
14.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.1%

22.5%

12.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.1%

21.5%

11.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Trento has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Pro Patria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trento than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pro Patria than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Trento - Pro Patria Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Trento (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Barlocco S. (G) 27. Triacca D. 4. Trainotti A. 28. Corradi C. 44. Maffei M. 23. Aucelli C. 14. Fossati M. 20. Benedetti G. 71. Chinetti F. 11. Pellegrini J. 7. Capone C.	28. Sala A. (G) 14. Citterio G. 39. Motolese M. 33. Pogliano C. 6. Sassaro A. 5. Di Munno A. 31. Felicioli G. 25. Ferri D. 11. Renelus B. 10. Mastroianni F. 27. Giudici L.
Substitutes
70. Calza G. 36. Candelari P. 38. Corallo C. 12. Costantini F. (G) 24. Dalmonte N. 9. Ebone T. 6. Fedele S. 37. Genco A. 21. Ladisa M. 39. Miranda K. 5. Sangalli M. 74. Tarolli S. 22. Tommasi M. (G)	15. Auci A. 70. Desogus J. 23. Frosali J. 26. Masi A. 20. Mora C. 7. Orfei A. 1. Rovida W. (G) 8. Schiavone A. 19. Travaglini C. 9. Udoh K. 22. Zamarian M. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
10', Di Munno A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Di Munno A. ↓, Schiavone A. ↑,
52', Maffei M. 🟨,
61', Schiavone A. 🟨,
64', Pellegrini J. ↓, Ebone T. ↑,
64', Chinetti F. ↓, Dalmonte N. ↑,
71', Citterio G. ↓, Desogus J. ↑,
71', Felicioli G. ↓, Travaglini C. ↑,
72', Benedetti G. ↓, Candelari P. ↑,
76', 1 - 0, Dalmonte N. ⚽,
79', 2 - 0, Maffei M. ⚽,
82', Fossati M. ↓, Sangalli M. ↑,
82', Capone C. ↓, Ladisa M. ↑,
84', Sassaro A. ↓, Udoh K. ↑,
84', Ferri D. ↓, Frosali J. ↑,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 19 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Trento won 1.

Trento is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Pro Patria is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Trento may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Trento is the undisputed favorite.

We predict that Trento will win today's game, with odds of 1.48.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Trento won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:7. (average 1.1:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Trento won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 0.8:0).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Trento	8	3	5	0	11:5	6	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Trento SCSD
Italian Serie C Group A
11.02.26	Union ArzignanoChiampo - Trento	0:2 ✺
07.02.26	Pergolettese - Trento	1:2 ✺
31.01.26	Trento - Lecco	1:1 ✺
24.01.26	AlbinoLeffe - Trento	1:2 ✺
17.01.26	Trento - Novara	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WWTWT
- Aurora Pro Patria 1919
Italian Serie C Group A
11.02.26	Pro Patria - Cittadella	1:0 ✺
08.02.26	AlbinoLeffe - Pro Patria	2:2 ✺
01.02.26	Pro Patria - Vicenza Virtus	0:4 ✺
25.01.26	Novara - Pro Patria	3:1 ✺
17.01.26	Pro Patria - Giana Erminio	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
05.10.25	Pro Patria - Trento	2:2
09.03.25	Trento - Pro Patria	0:0
25.10.24	Pro Patria - Trento	1:1
01.03.24	Trento - Pro Patria	0:0
24.10.23	Pro Patria - Trento	0:2
11.02.23	Trento - Pro Patria	0:0
16.10.22	Pro Patria - Trento	1:2

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