Match Info

Serie C - Group A - Round 25

Date: 7 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Tullio Saleri (Lumezzane)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia


	Lumezzane		Cittadella

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.72	3.05	2.52	Watch
	2.87	3.1	2.54
	2.79	3.11	2.46	Watch
	2.75	2.8	2.45
	2.77	2.97	2.41	Watch
	2.85	3.1	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.79 ↑ (2.69)	3.02 ↓ (3.16)	2.47 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lumezzane
32.8%

Draw
30.3%

Cittadella
37%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.2%

29.1%

36.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.7%

29.5%

37.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lumezzane has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Cittadella has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lumezzane than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cittadella than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Lumezzane - Cittadella Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
50. Drago G. (G) 23. Moscati M. 31. Stivanello R. 29. Gallea F. 70. Mancini S. 8. Rocca M. 6. Colangiuli V. 19. Rolando M. 11. Ghillani A. 20. Caccavo L. 21. Iori M.	23. Saro G. (G) 28. Rizza A. 40. Gobbato M. 36. Zilio A. 19. D'Alessio F. 8. Amatucci F. (C) 5. Barberis A. 32. Ghezzi A. 21. Rabbi S. 91. Falcinelli D. 7. Anastasia E.
Substitutes
32. Anatriello G. 12. Battagliola L. (G) 99. Belvedere F. 17. De Marino D. 7. Ferro M. 1. Filigheddu S. (G) 45. Monachello G. 95. Motta M. 27. Napolitano G. 15. Ndiaye M. 4. Paghera F. 14. Rihai A. 41. Scanzi M.	10. Casolari F. 99. Castelli D. 14. Crialese C. 9. Diaw D. 44. Gatti R. 77. Ignatov E. 1. Maniero L. (G) 17. Perretta G. 27. Stronati R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
44', Falcinelli D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Ghillani A. ↓, Ferro M. ↑,
53', Rabbi S. ↓, Castelli D. ↑,
61', Colangiuli V. ↓, De Marino D. ↑,
62', 0 - 1, Falcinelli D. ⚽,
65', Ghezzi A. 🟨,
75', Barberis A. ↓, Perretta G. ↑,
75', Ghezzi A. ↓, Stronati R. ↑,
78', Mancini S. ↓, Napolitano G. ↑,
80', Stronati R. 🟨,
84', Falcinelli D. ↓, Diaw D. ↑,
84', Anastasia E. ↓, Crialese C. ↑,
84', Iori M. ↓, Belvedere F. ↑,
84', Caccavo L. ↓, Anatriello G. ↑,
89', 1 - 1, Napolitano G. ⚽,
90+5', 1 - 2, Perretta G. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).

Lumezzane is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Cittadella is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Cittadella may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Lumezzane won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, Lumezzane won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Cittadella	9	8	0	1	16:4	12	24
10	Lumezzane	8	3	2	3	10:11	-1	11

Last Results with these Odds

Cittadella - the odds 2.5 are the expected chance of winning is 36.76%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Lumezzane
Italian Serie C Group A
31.01.26	Ospitaletto - Lumezzane	1:2 ✺
23.01.26	Triestina - Lumezzane	2:1 ✺
17.01.26	Lumezzane - Alcione	1:0 ✺
10.01.26	Pergolettese - Lumezzane	0:2 ✺
04.01.26	Lumezzane - Vicenza Virtus	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 WLWWT
- AS Cittadella
Italian Serie C Group A
01.02.26	Cittadella - AlbinoLeffe	0:1 ✺
26.01.26	Vicenza Virtus - Cittadella	4:1 ✺
17.01.26	Cittadella - Pergolettese	3:3 ✺
11.01.26	Alcione - Cittadella	2:0 ✺
03.01.26	Cittadella - Virtus Verona	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
25.09.25	Cittadella - Lumezzane	0:1
20.03.16	Cittadella - Lumezzane	1:0
07.11.15	Lumezzane - Cittadella	1:1

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