Match Info

Cymru South - Round 7

Date: 4 September 2026, Friday


	Trethomas Bluebirds		Caerphilly Athletic

	1	X	2
	2.22	3.45	2.62
	2.34	3.65	2.71	Watch
	2.3	3.76	2.72
	2.21	3.55	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↓ (2.32)	3.6 ↓ (3.62)	2.66 ↓ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Trethomas Bluebirds
40.3%

Draw
25.4%

Caerphilly Athletic
34.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

25.6%

34.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Trethomas Bluebirds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Caerphilly Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Trethomas Bluebirds - Caerphilly Athletic Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
44', 1 - 0, Newman Jones A. ⚽,
45', 1 - 1, Perrett D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
78', 2 - 1, Ferreira N. ⚽,
88', 2 - 2, Perrett D. ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 7 and 11).

In recent matches, Trethomas Bluebirds has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Caerphilly may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Trethomas Bluebirds	9	2	4	3	17:17	0	10
14	Caerphilly	9	2	2	5	9:17	-8	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Trethomas Bluebirds
Welsh Cymru South
31.08.26	Carmarthen Town - Trethomas Bluebirds	2:3 ✺
28.08.26	Trethomas Bluebirds - Afan Lido	5:2 ✺
21.08.26	Pontypridd United - Trethomas Bluebirds	2:1 ✺
14.08.26	Trethomas Bluebirds - Caerau Ely	2:4 ✺
07.08.26	Llanelli - Trethomas Bluebirds	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWLLT
- Caerphilly Athletic
Welsh Cymru South
31.08.26	Baglan Dragons - Caerphilly Athletic	0:1 ✺
22.08.26	Caerphilly Athletic - Ynyshir Albions	2:1 ✺
07.08.26	Caerphilly Athletic - Cardiff Draconians	0:0 ✺
01.08.26	Pontardawe Town - Caerphilly Athletic	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWTL

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