Match Info

Cymru South - Round 4

Date: 21 August 2026, Friday


	Pontypridd United		Trethomas Bluebirds

	1	X	2
	1.78	3.55	3.55
	1.84	3.86	3.46
	1.81	3.93	3.82	Watch
	1.82	3.8	3.4
	1.92	3.89	3.43
	1.78	3.65	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↑ (1.49)	3.78 ↓ (4.5)	3.54 ↓ (5.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pontypridd United
50%

Draw
24.2%

Trethomas Bluebirds
25.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.4%

20.7%

16.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pontypridd United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pontypridd United's form might have worsened.

Trethomas Bluebirds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Trethomas Bluebirds's recent form is better than expected.

Pontypridd United - Trethomas Bluebirds Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Angel L. ⚽,
21', 2 - 0, Edwards E. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
85', 2 - 1, Thomas J. ⚽,

Preview

Trethomas Bluebirds is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Pontypridd is a strong favorite.

We predict that Pontypridd will win today's game, with odds of 1.67.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Pontypridd won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:12. (average 1.5:3).

Including home matches between the teams, Pontypridd won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 2:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Pontypridd	9	6	1	2	23:16	7	19
11	Trethomas Bluebirds	9	2	4	3	17:17	0	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pontypridd United
Welsh Cymru South
15.08.26	Cardiff Draconians - Pontypridd United	1:4 ✺
07.08.26	Pontypridd United - Pontardawe Town	3:2 ✺
01.08.26	Treowen Stars - Pontypridd United	2:3 ✺
18.04.26	Pontypridd United - Caerau Ely	0:0 ✺
11.04.26	Cardiff Draconians - Pontypridd United	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WWWTT
- Trethomas Bluebirds
Welsh Cymru South
14.08.26	Trethomas Bluebirds - Caerau Ely	2:4 ✺
07.08.26	Llanelli - Trethomas Bluebirds	1:1 ✺
31.07.26	Trethomas Bluebirds - Baglan Dragons	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
14.07.26	Barry Town United - Trethomas Bluebirds	5:1 ✺
23.06.26	Trethomas Bluebirds - Pen-y-Bont	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru South
20.03.26	Trethomas Bluebirds - Pontypridd United	4:2
28.11.25	Pontypridd United - Trethomas Bluebirds	2:1
12.04.25	Trethomas Bluebirds - Pontypridd United	4:0
14.09.24	Pontypridd United - Trethomas Bluebirds	2:3

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