Match Info

Cymru South - Round 6

Date: 31 August 2026, Monday


	Baglan Dragons		Caerphilly Athletic

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.35	2.62
	2.4	3.55	2.7	Watch
	2.25	3.45	2.64
	2.26	3.45	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↓ (2.96)	3.45 ↓ (3.54)	2.64 ↑ (2.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Baglan Dragons
39.5%

Draw
26.2%

Caerphilly Athletic
34.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.4%

26.2%

42.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Baglan Dragons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Baglan Dragons's performance.

Caerphilly Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Caerphilly Athletic might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Baglan Dragons - Caerphilly Athletic Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 and 13).

Baglan Dragons may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Baglan Dragons	10	5	1	4	11:11	0	16
14	Caerphilly	9	2	2	5	9:17	-8	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Baglan Dragons
Welsh Cymru South
28.08.26	Baglan Dragons - Caerau Ely	3:1 ✺
21.08.26	Newport City - Baglan Dragons	0:1 ✺
15.08.26	Llantwit Major - Baglan Dragons	0:1 ✺
31.07.26	Trethomas Bluebirds - Baglan Dragons	0:0 ✺
18.04.26	Baglan Dragons - Trethomas Bluebirds	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.3 WWWTT
- Caerphilly Athletic
Welsh Cymru South
22.08.26	Caerphilly Athletic - Ynyshir Albions	2:1 ✺
07.08.26	Caerphilly Athletic - Cardiff Draconians	0:0 ✺
01.08.26	Pontardawe Town - Caerphilly Athletic	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WTL

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