Match Info

Serie D - Group D - Round 22

Date: 1 February 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Tropical Coriano		Trevigliese

	1	X	2
	2.32	3.05	2.82
	2.36	3.16	2.84	Watch
	2.34	3.13	2.83
	2.33	3.1	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↑ (2.24)	3.11 ↓ (3.25)	2.84 ↓ (2.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tropical Coriano
38.8%

Draw
29.2%

Trevigliese
32%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41%

28.3%

30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3%

26.8%

29.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tropical Coriano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Trevigliese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tropical Coriano than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trevigliese than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Tropical Coriano - Trevigliese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
24', 1 - 0, Pacchioni G. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group D (Play Out: )).

Both teams are currently in poor form.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	Tropical Coriano	9	1	2	6	6:12	-6	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Tropical Coriano
Italian Serie D - Group D
25.01.26	Lentigione - Tropical Coriano	2:0 ✺
18.01.26	Tropical Coriano - Progresso	0:0 ✺
11.01.26	Correggese - Tropical Coriano	1:0 ✺
04.01.26	Tropical Coriano - Tuttocuoio	1:1 ✺
21.12.25	Tropical Coriano - Pro Palazzolo	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LTLTT
- CS Trevigliese
Italian Serie D - Group D
25.01.26	Trevigliese - Sasso Marconi	0:0 ✺
18.01.26	Pro Sesto - Trevigliese	4:0 ✺
11.01.26	Progresso - Trevigliese	2:1 ✺
04.01.26	Trevigliese - SantAngelo	1:1 ✺
21.12.25	Trevigliese - Tuttocuoio	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 TLLTT

Tropical Coriano - Trevigliese