Match Info

Serie C - Play Out - Final

Date: 17 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadio Nereo Rocco (Trieste)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 252


	Triestina		Caldiero Terme

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.3	4.33
	1.75	3.45	4.6
	1.73	3.53	4.91
	1.74	3.5	4.87	Watch
	1.66	3.52	4.72
	1.75	3.45	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↑ (1.52)	3.46 ↓ (3.77)	4.67 ↓ (6.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Triestina
53.6%

Draw
26.6%

Caldiero Terme
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.4%

24.4%

15.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.5%

25.2%

14.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Triestina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Triestina's form might have worsened.

Caldiero Terme has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Triestina than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Triestina, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caldiero Terme than the current prediction. (-5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Triestina - Caldiero Terme Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Roos K. (G) 17. Jonsson K. 5. Frare D. 44. Bianconi A. 21. Tonetto M. 16. Fiordilino L. 7. Ionita A. 15. Correia O. (C) 77. Cortinovis A. 27. Udoh K. 99. Olivieri M.	45. Crespi G. M. (G) 13. Pelagatti C. 33. Mazzolo F. 44. Nessi R. 24. Gobetti N. 8. Filiciotto A. (C) 4. Gattoni T. 26. Mondini G. 10. Fasan N. 97. Cazzadori D. 20. Florio M.
Substitutes
2. Bianay Balcot C. 3. Bijleveld T. 12. Borriello F. (G) 18. Cancellieri D. 46. Embalo Sambu B. 73. Kosijer S. 30. Mastrantonio D. (G) 9. Vertainen E. 42. Voca I.	91. Aldegheri L. (G) 9. Caccavo L. 85. Cisse O. 15. Gecchele P. 1. Giacomel A. (G) 22. Kuqi O. (G) 29. Lanzi E. 11. Marras T. 28. Molnar I. 3. Parodi G. 14. Pelamatti A. 21. Rihai A. 90. Scappini S. 47. Squarzoni S. A. 7. Zerbato L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45+2', Ionita A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Fasan N. ↓, Marras T. ↑,
58', Florio M. ↓, Caccavo L. ↑,
59', Fiordilino L. ↓, Embalo Sambu B. ↑,
59', Udoh K. ↓, Vertainen E. ↑,
70', Cazzadori D. ↓, Scappini S. ↑,
70', Mazzolo F. ↓, Gecchele P. ↑,
75', Tonetto M. ↓, Cancellieri D. ↑,
79', Cortinovis A. ↓, Voca I. ↑,
80', Pelagatti C. ↓, Lanzi E. ↑,
84', Gobetti N. 🟨,

Preview

1st leg result: 0-0. 2nd leg.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, Triestina is a strong favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Triestina won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:1. (average 0.7:0.3).

Including home match between the teams, Triestina won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Unione Triestina 2012
Italian Serie C Group A
10.05.25	Caldiero Terme - Triestina	0:0 ✺
25.04.25	Triestina - Novara	6:0 ✺
18.04.25	Vicenza Virtus - Triestina	1:0 ✺
13.04.25	Triestina - Padova	0:1 ✺
06.04.25	Renate - Triestina	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 TWLLW
- Caldiero Terme
Italian Serie C Group A
10.05.25	Caldiero Terme - Triestina	0:0 ✺
25.04.25	Union Clodiense - Caldiero Terme	0:1 ✺
18.04.25	Caldiero Terme - Lecco	1:0 ✺
11.04.25	Union ArzignanoChiampo - Caldiero Terme	2:1 ✺
06.04.25	Caldiero Terme - Atalanta U23	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 TWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
10.05.25	Caldiero Terme - Triestina	0:0
11.01.25	Caldiero Terme - Triestina	0:2
08.09.24	Triestina - Caldiero Terme	0:1

Triestina - Caldiero Terme: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide