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Current Win Probability
Triestina 46.9%
Draw 27.7%
Virtus Verona 25.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45.1%
27.2%
27.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
46.3%
26.5%
26.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Triestina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
Virtus Verona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Triestina than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Virtus Verona than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
75%
0%
25%
Triestina - Virtus Verona Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Triestina will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Virtus Verona will win (votes: 1 - 25%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Matosevic K. (G) 14. Anzolin M. (C) 5. Kosijer S. 21. Tonetto M. 28. Pedicillo L. 15. Voca I. 17. Jonsson K. 16. Vicario J. 10. D'Urso C. 27. Faggioli A. 9. Vertainen E.
2. Alfonso E. (G) 23. Toffanin F. 95. Munaretti L. 38. Ingrosso G. 6. Daffara M. 75. Bassi M. 30. Gatti C. 10. Zarpellon L. 29. Saiani F. 18. Cernigoi I. 99. Fabbro M.
Substitutes
77. Ascione S. 8. Attys C. 19. Bagnoli E. 6. Begheldo G. 22. Borriello F. (G) 20. Davis H. 43. Gningue O. 13. Jamaal M. 29. Kljajic N. 30. Neri F. (G) 32. Okolo D.
7. Amadio M. 8. Caia F. 3. Cielo T. 47. Cuel E. 70. Devoti A. 14. Di Virgilio M. 5. Fanini F. 85. Fiori N. 20. Fiorin G. 17. Guy Y. 74. Lerco S. 39. Mancini T. 11. Mastour H. 1. Peroni R. (G) 12. Scardigno N. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
14', Vicario J. 🟨,
21', Kosijer S. 🟨,
32', 1 - 0, Jonsson K. ⚽,
45+7', Toffanin F. 🟥,
45+7', 2 - 0, D'Urso C. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Gatti C. ↓, Fanini F. ↑,
46', Saiani F. ↓, Lerco S. ↑,
46', Daffara M. ↓, Amadio M. ↑,
56', 3 - 0, Vertainen E. ⚽,
60', Faggioli A. ↓, Jamaal M. ↑,
60', Pedicillo L. ↓, Begheldo G. ↑,
60', Fabbro M. ↓, Mastour H. ↑,
65', Zarpellon L. ↓, Fiorin G. ↑,
67', Begheldo G. 🟨,
67', 🟨,
70', D'Urso C. ↓, Okolo D. ↑,
70', Vertainen E. ↓, Kljajic N. ↑,
79', 4 - 0, Kljajic N. ⚽,
81', Jonsson K. ↓, Gningue O. ↑,
90+1', 5 - 0, Begheldo G. ⚽,
Preview
This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 18 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).
Triestina is Relegated to
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Triestina won 1.
Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
Triestina might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Triestina won 8 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 25:20. (average 1.3:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Triestina won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:10. (average 1.1:0.9).
Last Results with these Odds
Triestina - the odds 2.02 are the expected chance of winning is 45.14%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.