Match Info

Date: 31 October 2020, Saturday


	Arezzo		Triestina

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.2	2
	3.4	3.2	2
	3.4	3.3	1.95
	3.15	3.1	2.08
	3.32	3.49	2.12
	3.3	3.3	2.1
	3.2	3.34	2.13	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.34 ↑ (3.1)	3.28 ↑ (3.05)	2.05 ↓ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arezzo
27.4%

Draw
28%

Triestina
44.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.2%

29.6%

41.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.1%

22.4%

54.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arezzo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Triestina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arezzo than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Arezzo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Triestina than the current prediction. (+9.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Triestina could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Arezzo - Triestina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion to Serie C to Promotion to Play Offs).

Arezzo is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Triestina is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Triestina will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Arezzo won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Arezzo won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SS Arezzo
Italian Serie C Group B
25.10.20	Matelica - Arezzo	2:2 ✺
21.10.20	Arezzo - Padova	0:5 ✺
18.10.20	Carpi - Arezzo	4:1 ✺
11.10.20	Arezzo - Virtus Verona	0:3 ✺
08.10.20	Gubbio - Arezzo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 TLLLT
- Unione Triestina 2012
Italian Serie C Group B
25.10.20	Triestina - Virtus Verona	1:1 ✺
21.10.20	Vis Pesaro - Triestina	0:1 ✺
17.10.20	Triestina - Ravenna	2:1 ✺
11.10.20	Legnago Salus - Triestina	3:0 ✺
07.10.20	Triestina - Modena	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Coppa Italia
29.07.17	Arezzo - Triestina	0:1

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