Match Info

Serie C - Group A - Round 32

Date: 15 March 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Nereo Rocco (Trieste) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Italy	14:30	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 256


	Triestina		Pro Vercelli

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.72	3.05	2.52
	2.82	3.1	2.63
	2.73	3.05	2.55	Watch
	2.63	2.8	2.5
	2.69	2.92	2.51	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.72 ↑ (2.62)	2.98 ↓ (3.04)	2.54 ↓ (2.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Triestina
33.6%

Draw
30.6%

Pro Vercelli
35.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

34.7%

29.9%

35.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.2%

28.7%

33.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Triestina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Pro Vercelli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Triestina than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pro Vercelli than the current prediction. (-2%)

Triestina - Pro Vercelli Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Matosevic K. (G) 14. Anzolin M. 23. Silvestri T. (C) 26. D'Amore F. 16. Vicario J. 17. Jonsson K. 15. Voca I. 21. Tonetto M. 8. Attys C. 10. D'Urso C. 9. Vertainen E.	77. Del Favero M. (G) 18. Piran L. 5. Marchetti S. 3. Coccolo L. 28. Carosso A. 30. Huiberts D. 4. El Bouchataoui A. 14. Iotti I. 92. Akpa Akpro J. 26. Comi G. (C) 11. Sow A.
Substitutes
77. Ascione S. 19. Bagnoli E. 6. Begheldo G. 22. Borriello F. (G) 27. Faggioli A. 43. Gningue O. 31. Guillen Gamboa M. 13. Jamaal M. 29. Kljajic N. 61. Korreshi M. 32. Okolo D. 28. Pedicillo L.	1. Anfossi P. (G) 41. Boufandar A. 8. Burruano A. 44. Clemente G. 7. Mallahi M. 23. Perotti C. 29. Pino E. 91. Regonesi I. 16. Ronchi N. 33. Rosin D. 10. Rutigliano M. 45. Satriano A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
12', D'Amore F. ↓, Pedicillo L. ↑,
19', Tonetto M. 🟨,
21', 0 - 1, Vicario J. (Own goal),
32', 0 - 2, Huiberts D. ⚽,
37', Pedicillo L. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Attys C. ↓, Faggioli A. ↑,
58', Del Favero M. 🟨,
60', Sow A. ↓, Rutigliano M. ↑,
65', 1 - 2, Vertainen E. ⚽,
68', Comi G. 🟨,
71', Pedicillo L. ↓, Jamaal M. ↑,
72', Huiberts D. ↓, Burruano A. ↑,
76', 1 - 3, Comi G. ⚽,
78', Silvestri T. 🟨,
80', Jamaal M. 🟨,
88', Vicario J. ↓, Ascione S. ↑,
90+2', 2 - 3, Voca I. ⚽,
90+5', 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Triestina won 3.

Triestina is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Pro Vercelli is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Triestina won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:11. (average 1.7:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Triestina won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:4. (average 2:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Pro Vercelli	11	3	3	5	10:19	-9	12

Last Results with these Odds

Pro Vercelli - the odds 2.57 are the expected chance of winning is 35.39%, but this team recently wins 17% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Unione Triestina 2012
Italian Serie C Group A
07.03.26	Brescia - Triestina	0:0 ✺
03.03.26	Triestina - Dolomiti Bellunesi	2:3 ✺
27.02.26	Pergolettese - Triestina	2:0 ✺
21.02.26	Triestina - Cittadella	2:3 ✺
15.02.26	Triestina - Novara	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 TLLLL
- Pro Vercelli
Italian Serie C Group A
07.03.26	Pro Vercelli - Cittadella	0:2 ✺
03.03.26	Pergolettese - Pro Vercelli	2:1 ✺
27.02.26	Giana Erminio - Pro Vercelli	1:0 ✺
22.02.26	Pro Vercelli - Trento	1:3 ✺
15.02.26	Dolomiti Bellunesi - Pro Vercelli	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
09.11.25	Pro Vercelli - Triestina	3:1
15.02.25	Pro Vercelli - Triestina	0:1
05.10.24	Triestina - Pro Vercelli	1:1
20.01.24	Pro Vercelli - Triestina	1:2
16.09.23	Triestina - Pro Vercelli	2:0
21.01.23	Pro Vercelli - Triestina	2:1
17.09.22	Triestina - Pro Vercelli	1:1

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