Match Info

Serie C - Group A - Round 28

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadio Nereo Rocco (Trieste)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DAZN App
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia
Mexico	DAZN App
Paraguay	DAZN App
Peru	DAZN App
Uruguay	DAZN App
Venezuela	DAZN App
World	FIFA+


	Triestina		Cittadella

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.4	3.25	2.02	Watch
	3.09	3.36	2.19
	3.46	3.47	1.96	Watch
	3.4	3.1	1.95
	3.71	3.3	2.01	Watch
	3.14	3.33	2.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.37 ↑ (3.11)	3.3 ↑ (3.23)	2.05 ↓ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Triestina
27.3%

Draw
27.8%

Cittadella
44.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.6%

28.5%

41.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.3%

27.3%

43.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Triestina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Cittadella has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Triestina than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cittadella than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Triestina - Cittadella Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Matosevic K. (G) 14. Anzolin M. (C) 77. Ascione S. 26. D'Amore F. 20. Davis H. 10. D'Urso C. 27. Faggioli A. 17. Jonsson K. 5. Kosijer S. 21. Tonetto M. 15. Voca I.	23. Saro G. (G) 8. Amatucci F. (C) 7. Anastasia E. 4. Angeli M. 10. Casolari F. 91. Falcinelli D. 32. Ghezzi A. 17. Perretta G. 21. Rabbi S. 55. Redolfi A. 36. Zilio A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, Falcinelli D. ⚽,
34', Tonetto M. ↓, Pedicillo L. ↑,
35', Angeli M. 🟨,
41', Ascione S. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Falcinelli D. ↓, Bunino C. ↑,
52', Kosijer S. 🟨,
62', 1 - 1, Faggioli A. ⚽,
69', Angeli M. ↓, Rizza A. ↑,
70', 1 - 2, Anastasia E. ⚽,
72', Casolari F. ↓, Barberis A. ↑,
80', D'Amore F. ↓, Vertainen E. ↑,
81', Ascione S. ↓, Vicario J. ↑,
84', Ghezzi A. 🟨,
85', Ghezzi A. ↓, Gobbato M. ↑,
90+1', 2 - 2, Vertainen E. ⚽,
90+2', Faggioli A. ↓, Begheldo G. ↑,
90+3', Begheldo G. 🟨,
90+6', 2 - 3, Rabbi S. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Cittadella is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Triestina won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Cittadella	9	8	0	1	16:4	12	24

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Unione Triestina 2012
Italian Serie C Group A
15.02.26	Triestina - Novara	0:1 ✺
11.02.26	Renate - Triestina	4:0 ✺
08.02.26	Triestina - Inter U23	4:1 ✺
31.01.26	Union ArzignanoChiampo - Triestina	4:1 ✺
23.01.26	Triestina - Lumezzane	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LLWLW
- AS Cittadella
Italian Serie C Group A
16.02.26	Cittadella - Renate	2:1 ✺
11.02.26	Pro Patria - Cittadella	1:0 ✺
07.02.26	Lumezzane - Cittadella	1:2 ✺
01.02.26	Cittadella - AlbinoLeffe	0:1 ✺
26.01.26	Vicenza Virtus - Cittadella	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
12.10.25	Cittadella - Triestina	1:0

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